Vermilion Energy's latest earnings report shows a significant turnaround, demonstrating resilience in a volatile market.
Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET.TO) released its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings after the market closed on July 28, 2026. The company reported an EPS of $0.86, surpassing analysts' expectations by 28.4%. This marks a notable recovery from previous quarters, reflecting the company's strategic adjustments and current market conditions.
Recent earnings trend
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Vermilion Energy Inc.
VET.TO
VET.TO
Vermilion Energy Inc.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.55B
Div. yield
3.29%
Div. / share
$0.53
52W high
$20.13
52W low
$9.34
1W change
+11.50%
Beta
0.49
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering VET
Wall Street analysts forecast VET stock price to rise 21.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$20.27
+21.5% Upside
Current Price
C$16.68
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on VET's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
49.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
55.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+13.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$17.49
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$16.95 | C$14.28 – C$20.11 |
| 60 trading days | C$17.22 | C$13.51 – C$21.94 |
| 90 trading days | C$17.49 | C$13.00 – C$23.54 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-28 | 0.8600 | 0.6700 | +28.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | -0.9200 | 0.2400 | -483.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-04 | -2.8600 | 0.0800 | -3675.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.0200 | 0.1900 | -89.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.4800 | -0.1400 | +442.9% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-04-29 | 0.1000 | 0.2343 | -57.3% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should consider Vermilion's strong earnings performance, especially given its past struggles, which indicates potential for growth. However, keep in mind the company's historical earnings volatility when assessing its future prospects.
EPS Surprises by 28.36%
Vermilion's EPS of $0.86 not only exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.67 but also shows a substantial improvement from last year's EPS of -$1.51, highlighting a strong turnaround.
Bull case
The impressive EPS beat suggests that Vermilion is effectively navigating challenges in the energy sector, positioning itself for continued profitability. The company's efforts to lower costs and boost production could further enhance its earnings potential.
Bear case
Despite the positive earnings surprise, Vermilion has a history of significant earnings misses in recent quarters. Investors should remain cautious, as fluctuations in oil prices and operational challenges could affect future performance.
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Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
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