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“Intrinsic value is the present value of all future cash that can be delivered by a business — discounted back to today.”
When Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger talk about intrinsic value, they’re not describing a number on a spreadsheet — they’re describing a mindset. In this 2020 Berkshire Hathaway Q&A, the duo revisit one of their most misunderstood concepts: how to actually think about what a business is worth.
For investors, this discussion is a rare look into how the world’s most disciplined capital allocators define value in a world obsessed with price.
The Foundation: Cash, Not Opinion
“The intrinsic value of Berkshire — like any other business — is based on the future amount of cash that can be expected to be delivered by the business between now and judgment day, discounted back at the proper rate.” — Warren Buffett
This isn’t new language, but it’s often ignored. Buffett reminds investors that intrinsic value has nothing to do with short-term market prices. It’s about what a business will earn and return over time — measured in real, after-tax cash, not accounting smoke.
In today’s markets, where speculation drives much of the noise, this principle is more vital than ever. Whether you’re valuing a stock, ETF, or your own business, the question isn’t “What will people pay for this tomorrow?” but “How much will it produce over time?”
If you’re new to value investing, start with Wealth Awesome’s Best S&P 500 ETFs in Canada — a practical gateway to owning productive assets that compound long-term value.
Beyond Today’s Balance Sheet
“Since Berkshire retains all of its earnings, it becomes very important to evaluate what will be done with those earnings over time.”
Buffett clarifies a subtle but crucial truth: intrinsic value isn’t static. It depends on how retained earnings are used. A company that can reinvest profits into equally profitable ventures has a far higher intrinsic value than one that simply distributes dividends or hoards cash.
He uses Berkshire’s early history as proof. In 1965, the company’s textile business was worth roughly $12 per share. But the real value came from Buffett’s ability to reinvest that capital into higher-return assets — like the insurance operations that eventually funded Berkshire’s empire.
The takeaway for modern investors is simple: always ask what management does with cash flow. Wealth Awesome’s guide to How to Analyze Stocks in Canada dives deeper into how to evaluate a company’s reinvestment discipline.
Munger’s Insight: Learning Is a Moat
“Berkshire has gotten so extreme in terms of investment results that it’s hard to think of another precedent in history… and it happened because a young man who read everything he could became a learning machine.” — Charlie Munger
Munger’s reflection on Buffett’s lifelong learning is more than nostalgia — it’s a statement about how compounding works beyond money. Berkshire’s intrinsic value didn’t just grow through capital allocation; it expanded through intellectual reinvestment.
The real “edge,” Munger says, is mental compounding: staying curious, rational, and open to evolving knowledge. That’s a principle every investor can copy — continuous learning amplifies returns by avoiding repeating mistakes.
For those developing their own investment process, check out Wealth Awesome’s Best Investing Books for timeless frameworks to build this kind of compounding mindset.
The Real Moat: Rationality Over Animal Spirits
“You would be amazed at the number of things that are responding to animal spirits rather than rationality that take place.” — Warren Buffett
Buffett’s remark is a quiet indictment of how most corporate and investment decisions get made — driven by emotion, momentum, or ego instead of clear logic.
This is why Berkshire’s culture of rationality matters. By rejecting short-term fads and focusing on long-term intrinsic value, Buffett and Munger created a structure that outlasts both of them. As Buffett puts it, Berkshire’s next leaders don’t need to be geniuses — they just need to avoid doing dumb things and keep allocating intelligently.
That mindset translates directly into personal finance: focus less on chasing alpha, and more on eliminating self-inflicted errors. If you’re building your own strategy, start with the fundamentals — TFSA vs RRSP and Low-Risk Investments in Canada.
Why Intrinsic Value Is Still Misunderstood
Most investors try to shortcut the process by using price multiples or chart patterns. Buffett’s version demands patience: forecasting real cash flows, discounting them rationally, and updating assumptions as facts change.
It’s messy, but that’s the point. Intrinsic value isn’t a formula — it’s a discipline. It forces investors to think like owners, not traders.
When Buffett says even he and Munger might write down slightly different estimates for Berkshire’s value, it reinforces a key truth: investing isn’t about precision, it’s about direction. The goal is not to find a perfect number, but to recognize when something is “clearly worth more than it’s selling for.”
The Timeless Playbook
1. Focus on future cash, not current noise.
A company’s value is what it will earn — not what headlines say today.
2. Evaluate management’s reinvestment skill.
Look for businesses that turn $1 of retained earnings into more than $1 of value.
3. Compound your knowledge.
Keep learning about industries, cycles, and psychology. It’s the ultimate edge.
4. Embrace rationality.
Ignore speculation, focus on logic — the Buffett-Munger cultural advantage.
5. Use intrinsic value as a compass, not a calculator.
It guides judgment — it doesn’t promise certainty.
For practical next steps, explore:
Final Thoughts
Intrinsic value isn’t a spreadsheet term — it’s a philosophy. Buffett and Munger remind us that wealth compounds when you think long-term, reinvest wisely, and keep learning relentlessly.
“We don’t need to do brilliant things — we just need to avoid doing dumb things.”
In a world obsessed with price charts, that simple statement might be the most valuable definition of “intrinsic value” there is.
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Qayyum Rajan, CFA
Qayyum is the CEO of Wealth Awesome, a leading Canadian personal finance publication. As a CFA charterholder with extensive experience in fintech, data science, and quantitative finance, he brings a unique analytical perspective to investing and wealth management.
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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.