Stocks

What to Expect from Alithya Group's Upcoming Earnings Report

By Qayyum Rajan, CFA -
Stocks & ETFs:ALYA.TO
Photos provided by Pexels

Alithya Group Inc. Class A is set to report earnings on June 11, 2026, with analysts expecting a modest EPS of CA$0.06. As the company navigates a challenging market, investors are eager to see if it can turn its fortunes around after a year of losses.

Alithya will announce its earnings for the fiscal period ending March 31, 2026, before the market opens on June 11. Analysts are anticipating an earnings per share (EPS) of CA$0.06, a crucial metric for investors looking for signs of recovery from the company's recent struggles. With a market cap of approximately CA$121.63 million, the stakes are high for this technology services firm as it seeks to regain profitability.

Investor takeaway: Long-term investors should monitor Alithya's earnings closely as a signal of its recovery potential in a competitive landscape.

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Alithya Group inc Class A

ALYA.TO

Full stock page โ†’

ALYA.TO

Alithya Group inc Class A

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
โ†“ $0.68 (-40.48%)
120 day period
$0.97$1.37$1.77Jan 22Apr 20Jul 14

Market cap

$96.77M

52W high

$2.61

52W low

$0.94

1W change

-3.85%

Beta

-0.18

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering ALYA

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Wall Street analysts forecast ALYA stock price to rise 70.0% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$1.70

+70.0% Upside

Current Price

C$1.00

Last close

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ALYA's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$0.44C$0.67C$0.90C$1.12C$1.35C$1.58TodayMar 6May 11Jul 14Aug 26Oct 9Nov 21

30-Day Vol

50.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

38.2%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$0.84

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1ฯƒ)
30 trading daysC$0.94C$0.79 โ€“ C$1.12
60 trading daysC$0.89C$0.69 โ€“ C$1.14
90 trading daysC$0.84C$0.62 โ€“ C$1.13

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯƒ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯƒ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analysts Expect a Modest EPS of CA$0.06 from Alithya

The anticipated EPS of CA$0.06 reflects a critical moment for Alithya Group, as it seeks to shift from a TTM loss of CA$-0.23. Meeting or exceeding this estimate could signal a turning point for the company, especially given its current market cap of CA$121.63 million and a forward P/E of 10.16x.

Bull case

  • Alithya's partnership with Shamrock Technologies is expected to enhance its service offerings and drive future growth.
  • The company has a positive cash flow runway for over three years, which may support its recovery efforts.
  • With a low forward P/E of 10.16x, there may be potential for valuation upside if the company can meet or exceed EPS expectations.

Bear case

  • Alithya has reported negative earnings over the trailing twelve months (TTM), raising concerns about its ability to achieve profitability.
  • The company's profit margin remains negative at -4.51%, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
  • Market volatility and economic uncertainty may impact Alithya's growth trajectory and investor sentiment.

Why Alithya's Earnings Matter Now

As Alithya prepares to release its earnings, the focus is on whether it can demonstrate a path to profitability. The company's recent partnerships, particularly with Shamrock Technologies, may provide the necessary momentum to improve its financial outlook. Investors will be looking for signs of growth in its Management Consulting Services, which have been the primary revenue driver.

Market Context for Alithya's Report

The current market environment is mixed, with economic uncertainty impacting many sectors. Alithya's ability to navigate these challenges will be closely watched, especially as it competes with other firms in the technology consulting space. The upcoming report will shed light on whether Alithya can leverage its strategic partnerships to enhance its market position.

What Investors Should Watch For

Investors should pay attention to Alithya's guidance for the upcoming quarters, as well as any updates on its strategic initiatives. The company's ability to reduce losses and improve its profit margins will be key indicators of its recovery. Additionally, any commentary on market conditions and client demand will provide valuable insights into its future performance.

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