Algoma Steel Group Inc's stock faced a downward trend this week, with no significant news driving the movement.
On Monday, Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL.TO) saw its stock price drop by 2.02%, bringing its weekly decline to 8.91%. The materials sector company has recently faced challenges, including an unplanned outage at its Lake Superior Power Plant, but there hasn't been any major news this week to further influence the stock's performance.
Advertisement
Algoma Steel Group Inc
ASTL.TO
ASTL.TO
Algoma Steel Group Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$609.67M
52W high
$8.16
52W low
$4.46
1W change
+3.79%
Beta
1.65
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ASTL · as of Sep 30, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ASTL stock price to rise 69.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$7.63
+69.8% Upside
Previously C$7.38 on Sep 17, 2026
Current Price
C$4.49
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ASTL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
47.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
69.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+14.2%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$6.63
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.41 | C$5.44 – C$7.55 |
| 60 trading days | C$6.52 | C$5.17 – C$8.21 |
| 90 trading days | C$6.63 | C$4.99 – C$8.80 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Advertisement
Investor takeaway: Algoma Steel's recent performance reflects ongoing operational challenges and market conditions. Investors should monitor the company's future earnings reports and operational updates, especially concerning the impacts of the recent power plant outage.
Stock down 8.91% this week amidst operational challenges.
Despite the recent downturn, Algoma Steel's average analyst target price suggests a potential upside of 26.7% from the last close.
Bull case
Algoma Steel has demonstrated resilience with record plate sales. Analysts are optimistic, indicating that if the operational issues are resolved, there’s significant potential for growth.
Bear case
The company is facing substantial losses, highlighted by a profit margin of -71.6%. The recent outage could further strain operations and diminish investor confidence.
Recent Price Action
Algoma Steel's stock closed at C$5.82 on Monday, down 2.02% for the day and 8.91% for the week. The stock has also seen a slight decline of 2.35% over the past month, but remains up 8.16% year-to-date.
Operational Challenges
Advertisement
The recent unplanned outage at Algoma's Lake Superior Power Plant has raised concerns about the company's operational stability. This outage may have contributed to the stock's downward trajectory, as it could affect production and financial performance in the short term.
Technical Picture
From a technical standpoint, Algoma Steel's current price of C$5.82 is slightly above its 50-day moving average of C$5.78, indicating a minor bullish trend. However, it remains below the 200-day moving average of C$6.05. The stock has a beta of 1.63, suggesting it is more volatile than the market. Additionally, the stock has traded at 53% of its 52-week range of C$4.20 to C$8.16, reflecting the potential for price recovery in the future.
Insider Activity
No recent insider trading activity has been reported for Algoma Steel, which may indicate stability in management's confidence regarding the company's outlook.
Analyst Outlook
Analysts remain bullish on Algoma Steel, with an average target price of C$7.38, suggesting a potential upside of 26.7% from the last closing price. This optimism may stem from the company's record plate sales and overall market positioning within the materials sector.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
TFSA room
Check TFSA contribution room
Shelter the next contribution before you buy.
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
