Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS.TO) has seen a notable decline in its stock price this week, reflecting ongoing challenges in the retail sector.
Canada Goose Holdings Inc is experiencing a tough week, with its stock price declining by 4.70% over the past week. As of the latest close, the stock stands at C$12.08, down slightly by 0.08% on Thursday. This performance comes amid fluctuating sales and market conditions impacting the consumer discretionary sector.
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Canada Goose Holdings Inc
GOOS.TO
GOOS.TO
Canada Goose Holdings Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.21B
P/E
21.4x
52W high
$21.28
52W low
$12.21
1W change
-4.70%
Beta
1.77
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering GOOS
Wall Street analysts forecast GOOS stock price to rise 21.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$15.04
+21.5% Upside
Current Price
C$12.38
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on GOOS's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
33.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
38.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$10.36
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$11.66 | C$10.41 – C$13.07 |
| 60 trading days | C$10.99 | C$9.36 – C$12.91 |
| 90 trading days | C$10.36 | C$8.50 – C$12.61 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Investor takeaway: Investors should monitor Canada Goose's upcoming earnings results and overall market trends, particularly in the retail space, as they could influence future stock performance and investor sentiment.
C$12.08 stock price reflects a 33.33% decline YTD.
The stock's current price is approximately 10% below its 50-day moving average and 24.8% below its 200-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend over time.
Bull case
The company has shown consistent revenue growth in recent quarters, especially in the U.S. and Mainland China. This suggests that Canada Goose is maintaining strong brand momentum and effective direct-to-consumer strategies.
Bear case
Despite its past performance, Canada Goose's stock has dropped significantly year-to-date, indicating challenges in sustaining growth and profitability in a competitive retail landscape.
Recent Price Action
Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS.TO) closed at C$12.08 on Thursday, marking a slight decrease of 0.08% for the day. Over the past week, the stock has declined by 4.70%. Year-to-date, Canada Goose has seen a significant drop of 33.33%, indicating ongoing challenges in the market.
Catalysts Behind the Move
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There has been no major company news this week that directly impacts stock performance. However, Canada Goose's previous earnings reports have shown a consistent upward trend in revenue, including an 18% increase in its fourth-quarter revenue for fiscal 2026. This suggests that while the stock is facing short-term challenges, the company's fundamentals may remain strong.
Technical Picture
From a technical standpoint, Canada Goose's stock is currently trading below both its 50-day moving average of C$13.54 and its 200-day moving average of C$16.07, indicating a bearish trend. The stock has a beta of 1.77, suggesting higher volatility compared to the market. The current price is near the lower end of its 52-week range of C$12.21 to C$21.28, indicating potential support levels.
Insider Activity
There is no insider activity reported for Canada Goose at this time, which could indicate a stable sentiment among current shareholders.
Conclusion
With a last close of C$12.08, Canada Goose Holdings Inc continues to navigate a challenging retail environment. Investors should keep an eye on upcoming earnings reports and market conditions as they may provide further insights into the company's performance and future outlook.
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