Dollarama Inc continues to show resilience in the retail sector, with recent guidance updates signaling positive momentum.
Dollarama Inc (DOL.TO) has seen a modest increase in its stock this week, rising by 2.19% over the past seven days. The company recently raised its fiscal 2027 guidance, which has boosted investor confidence despite a challenging economic environment.
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Dollarama Inc
DOL.TO
DOL.TO
Dollarama Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$49.55B
P/E
37.2x
Div. yield
0.24%
Div. / share
$0.45
52W high
$209.57
52W low
$163.25
1W change
+2.19%
Beta
0.36
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering DOL · as of Sep 23, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast DOL stock price to rise 12.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$207.47
+12.4% Upside
Previously C$207.94 on Sep 21, 2026
Current Price
C$184.64
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on DOL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
27.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
26.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-7.8%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$179.55
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$182.93 | C$166.57 – C$200.89 |
| 60 trading days | C$181.23 | C$158.75 – C$206.91 |
| 90 trading days | C$179.55 | C$152.66 – C$211.19 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Investor takeaway: With a strong profit margin and a solid return on equity, Dollarama seems well-positioned for future growth, even amid current market fluctuations.
Dollarama's Stock Closed at C$184.00
The stock is currently trading 0.8% below its 200-day moving average, indicating some short-term volatility.
Bull case
The recent increase in guidance reflects the company’s confidence in its growth path. This could attract more investors seeking stability in the consumer discretionary sector.
Bear case
Despite the positive outlook, Dollarama's year-to-date performance shows a decline of 10.44%, suggesting that broader market conditions could still pose risks to its stock price.
Recent Price Action
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Dollarama's stock closed at C$184.00, down 0.15% for the day. However, it has gained 2.19% over the past week and 4.96% in the last month, indicating a rebound from earlier volatility. Year-to-date, the stock has declined by 10.44%, which may concern some investors.
Company News and Catalysts
Recently, Dollarama raised its fiscal 2027 guidance after a notable growth in Q2 sales. This positive signal has been well-received by the market, suggesting the company is on track to meet or exceed its growth expectations. The raised guidance has boosted investor sentiment, which may help stabilize the stock's performance amid broader market pressures.
Technical Picture
From a technical standpoint, Dollarama's stock is currently trading at C$184.00, slightly above its 50-day moving average of C$182.66 but below its 200-day moving average of C$185.49. The stock has a 52-week range of C$163.25 to C$209.57, indicating it is currently trading at about 45% of this range. With a beta of 0.36, Dollarama has shown lower volatility compared to the market. The recent trading volume was 536,270 shares, significantly below its 20-day average volume of 880,637 shares, suggesting a quieter trading environment.
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