Ero Copper Corp has seen notable fluctuations in its stock performance this week amidst strong production reports.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO.TO) experienced a decline of 0.86% on Monday, closing at C$48.24. This week's performance reflects a more significant drop of 10.65%, although the stock remains up 12.95% over the past month and 20.93% year-to-date. The company recently announced record production figures, which have influenced market sentiment.
Advertisement
Ero Copper Corp
ERO.TO
ERO.TO
Ero Copper Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$5.29B
P/E
12.1x
52W high
$56.62
52W low
$27.22
1W change
-3.31%
Beta
1.67
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ERO · as of Sep 30, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ERO stock price to rise 4.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$53.21
+4.8% Upside
Previously C$52.71 on Sep 24, 2026
Current Price
C$50.75
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ERO's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
64.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
69.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$60.67
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$53.86 | C$43.05 – C$67.39 |
| 60 trading days | C$57.17 | C$41.64 – C$78.48 |
| 90 trading days | C$60.67 | C$41.16 – C$89.44 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Advertisement
Investor takeaway: Ero Copper's recent production achievements position it well within the materials sector, but the stock's current volatility may be a point of concern for short-term investors.
Ero Copper Corp Reports Record Production Figures
Ero Copper achieved record copper production of 19,706 tonnes and gold production of 13,837 ounces in Q4 2025, signaling strong operational performance.
Bull case
The company reported record copper and gold production in Q4 2025, and it expects strong sales to continue through mid-2027. This indicates robust operational capabilities and a solid foundation for future growth.
Bear case
Despite the impressive production numbers, the significant drop in stock price this week raises concerns among investors about future performance and broader market conditions.
Recent Price Action
Advertisement
Ero Copper Corp's stock closed at C$48.24 on Monday, marking a decline of 0.86% for the day. Over the past week, the stock has dropped 10.65%, indicating some volatility, although it has gained 12.95% over the last month and 20.93% year-to-date. The trading volume was recorded at 260,801 shares, which is lower than the 20-day average of 424,120 shares, suggesting reduced trading activity.
Company News and Production Reports
Despite a lack of recent press releases from Ero Copper, the company has been highlighted in web headlines for its record production achievements. In Q4 2025, Ero Copper reported record copper production of 19,706 tonnes and gold production of 13,837 ounces. These results contribute to strong year-end liquidity and a positive outlook for gold concentrate sales continuing through mid-2027.
Technical Picture
Ero Copper's current price is significantly above both its 50-day moving average of C$42.42 and its 200-day moving average of C$40.02, reflecting strong momentum. The stock has a 52-week trading range of C$20.60 to C$56.62, indicating that it is currently trading at 77% of its 52-week high. With a beta of 1.67, the stock is more volatile than the market, which may be a consideration for risk-averse investors.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
TFSA room
Check TFSA contribution room
Shelter the next contribution before you buy.
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
