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What's Going On With Ero Copper Corp Stock Monday?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:ERO.TO

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Ero Copper Corp's stock has had a mixed week as it navigates strong production output.

Ero Copper Corp (ERO.TO) saw a 3.18% increase today, following a slight decline of 2.28% over the past week. The company continues to report strong production figures, contributing to a year-to-date gain of 20.46%. Recent headlines highlight record copper production, positioning the company for future growth.

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Ero Copper Corp

ERO.TO

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ERO.TO

Ero Copper Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$13.34 (38.43%)
120 day period
$33.35$44.60$55.85Mar 30Jun 24Sep 18

Market cap

$5.01B

P/E

11.6x

52W high

$56.62

52W low

$23.67

1W change

-2.28%

Beta

1.67

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering ERO · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast ERO stock price to rise 8.8% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$52.30

+8.8% Upside

Current Price

C$48.05

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ERO's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$23.43C$46.89C$70.34C$93.80C$117.25C$140.71TodayMay 12Jul 16Sep 18Oct 31Dec 14Jan 26

30-Day Vol

72.5%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

71.0%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$57.44

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$51.00C$39.71C$65.49
60 trading daysC$54.12C$38.00C$77.09
90 trading daysC$57.44C$37.25C$88.59

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Investor takeaway: Ero Copper is maintaining a solid production trajectory, which is essential for investor confidence. While the stock has experienced fluctuations, its strong fundamentals and production capabilities provide a positive outlook.

Copper Production Reaches New Heights

Ero Copper reported record copper production of 19,706 tonnes in Q4 2025, contributing to an impressive total of 64,307 tonnes for the year.

Bull case

Ero Copper's record production numbers and healthy profit margins indicate strong operational performance that can sustain growth, especially with favorable market conditions for copper.

Bear case

Despite its strong performance, the stock's volatility and high beta (1.67) suggest potential risks for investors, particularly in a fluctuating commodities market.

Recent Price Action

Ero Copper Corp's stock closed at C$48.69, up 3.18% today. However, it has seen a decline of 2.28% over the past week. Year-to-date, ERO.TO has gained 20.46%, reflecting solid performance relative to the broader market.

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Company News and Production Highlights

Recent headlines indicate that Ero Copper has reported record copper production, with 19,706 tonnes produced in Q4 2025 and a total of 64,307 tonnes for the year. Additionally, the company achieved significant gold production figures, further solidifying its operational strength. The continuation of gold concentrate sales through mid-2027 positions Ero Copper for sustained growth.

Technical Picture

The technical indicators for Ero Copper show a strong position. The stock is trading well above its 50-day moving average of C$44.70, reflecting an 8.9% increase, and significantly above the 200-day moving average of C$40.81, which is up 19.3%. The 52-week range for the stock is between C$23.67 and C$56.62, indicating that it is currently trading at approximately 76% of its 52-week high. The stock has a beta of 1.67, highlighting its volatility compared to the broader market.

Insider Activity

No recent insider activity has been reported for Ero Copper Corp, which may indicate stability in management and investor confidence.


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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 21, 2026
Last Updated: September 21, 2026
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