Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd continues to face challenges as it navigates recent market conditions.
This week, Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd (FFH.TO) saw its stock price decline by 2.10% on Thursday, bringing its weekly loss to 2.61%. The stock's performance has been affected by a series of recent developments, including significant transactions and credit rating updates.
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Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd
FFH.TO
FFH.TO
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$47.61B
P/E
8.1x
Div. yield
0.67%
Div. / share
$15.00
52W high
$2678.15
52W low
$2066.16
1W change
-2.61%
Beta
0.45
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FFH
Wall Street analysts forecast FFH stock price to rise 18.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$2647.62
+18.0% Upside
Current Price
C$2243.97
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FFH's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
21.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
24.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-1.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$2234.82
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$2240.92 | C$2078.66 – C$2415.84 |
| 60 trading days | C$2237.87 | C$2012.19 – C$2488.85 |
| 90 trading days | C$2234.82 | C$1962.02 – C$2545.55 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Investor takeaway: Investors should be aware of Fairfax's current undervaluation narrative and the implications of its recent corporate activities, particularly as they relate to its position in the financial sector.
C$2243.97
Fairfax's last close is C$2243.97, which is 4.3% below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential bearish momentum.
Bull case
Analysts have set an average target of C$2647.62 for FFH.TO, suggesting an implied upside of 18%. This optimistic outlook is backed by the company's solid fundamentals, including a profit margin of 11.6% and a return on equity of 16.5%.
Bear case
Despite the positive analyst outlook, Fairfax's stock has struggled, with a year-to-date decline of 13.89%. This recent pullback raises concerns about its valuation and overall market sentiment.
Recent Price Action
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Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd closed at C$2243.97 on Thursday, reflecting a 2.10% decline for the day and a 2.61% drop over the week. This downward trend has continued for the past month, with the stock down 2.76% and a notable year-to-date decline of 13.89%.
Company News
Recent headlines have highlighted Fairfax's involvement in significant transactions, including the completion of a going-private deal with Andrew Peller Limited. Additionally, AM Best affirmed the credit ratings of Northbridge Financial Corporation’s members, which is part of Fairfax's broader portfolio. These developments come amid discussions about the company's valuation, with analysts suggesting that it may still be undervalued despite recent price movements.
Technical Picture
From a technical standpoint, FFH.TO is currently trading below both its 50-day moving average of C$2326.39 and its 200-day moving average of C$2345.31, indicating bearish momentum. The stock is within 29% of its 52-week range, which spans from C$2066.16 to C$2678.15. With a beta of 0.45, Fairfax's stock has shown lower volatility compared to the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors.
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