First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust's stock has shown resilience this week with a modest gain.
First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (FCR-UN.TO) has experienced a slight uptick in its stock price this week, reflecting a +1.74% increase. As investors assess the latest developments and performance metrics, the REIT continues to navigate the evolving landscape of the real estate sector.
Investor takeaway: With a strong year-to-date performance of +20.24%, First Capital REIT remains a notable player in the Canadian real estate market. The recent distribution announcements and court approvals signal ongoing strategic moves that may impact future growth.
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First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust
FCR-UN.TO
FCR-UN.TO
First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$4.85B
P/E
4.7x
Div. yield
3.98%
Div. / share
$0.90
52W high
$23.45
52W low
$17.63
1W change
+1.74%
Beta
0.88
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FCR-UN · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FCR-UN stock price to rise 6.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$24.36
+6.8% Upside
Current Price
C$22.81
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FCR-UN's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
6.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
8.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-7.5%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$22.21
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$22.61 | C$22.12 – C$23.11 |
| 60 trading days | C$22.41 | C$21.73 – C$23.11 |
| 90 trading days | C$22.21 | C$21.38 – C$23.06 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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First Capital REIT's Year-to-Date Performance Surges by 20.24%
With a market capitalization of approximately C$4.85 billion and a P/E ratio of 4.69, First Capital REIT is well-positioned in the market, attracting both income-focused and growth-oriented investors.
Bull case
The company's solid profit margins and return on equity show that it operates efficiently, which could support continued growth. Additionally, analysts have a positive outlook, suggesting the potential for further price appreciation.
Bear case
Despite its strong performance, the stock's beta of 0.88 indicates it has lower volatility compared to the broader market, which may limit rapid gains. Investors should also be mindful of external economic factors that could affect the real estate sector.
Recent Price Action
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First Capital REIT closed at C$22.81, reflecting a 1D gain of +0.80%. Over the past week, the stock has risen by 1.74%, indicating steady performance amid a generally stable market environment.
Company News and Catalysts
There have been no major news releases impacting First Capital REIT this week. However, the company has recently made headlines with its announcements regarding cash distributions for September and August 2026, as well as its second quarter results for 2026. These distributions, set at $0.076 per REIT unit, highlight the company's commitment to returning value to its unitholders.
Technical Picture
Analyzing the technical indicators, First Capital REIT is currently trading close to its 50-day moving average of C$22.78, which is just 0.1% above the current price. The stock is also significantly above its 200-day moving average of C$21.76, showing a 4.8% premium. The 52-week range for FCR-UN.TO is C$17.63 to C$23.45, with the stock currently operating at 89% of this range. The average trading volume over the past 20 days stands at 373,386 shares, with the latest volume reported at 353,508 shares, indicating a slight decrease in trading activity.
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