FirstService Corp faces challenges amid a tough quarter while continuing to expand its portfolio.
FirstService Corp (FSV.TO) has seen a decline in its stock price recently, with a 1-day drop of 2.75% and a year-to-date decrease of 12.03%. The company is grappling with a challenging second quarter, particularly in its roofing and closet segments. Despite these struggles, FirstService continues to expand its residential portfolio, indicating a strategic focus on growth in the real estate sector.
Investor takeaway: Investors should consider both the current challenges facing FirstService Corp and its ongoing expansion efforts. The company has a solid market presence, but its performance in key segments raises questions about short-term profitability.
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FirstService Corp
FSV.TO
FSV.TO
FirstService Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$7.97B
P/E
37.0x
Div. yield
0.62%
Div. / share
$1.16
52W high
$266.98
52W low
$169.24
1W change
-1.58%
Beta
0.90
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FSV · as of Sep 24, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FSV stock price to rise 83.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$238.33
+83.9% Upside
Previously C$238.02 on Sep 23, 2026
Current Price
C$129.57
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FSV's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
29.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
31.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-38.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$159.22
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$174.35 | C$157.42 – C$193.09 |
| 60 trading days | C$166.61 | C$144.21 – C$192.50 |
| 90 trading days | C$159.22 | C$133.41 – C$190.03 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Bull case
FirstService's expansion initiatives, including recent acquisitions in South Carolina and Colorado, could lead to long-term growth. Analysts have set an average target price of C$238.33, suggesting a significant upside from current levels and reflecting a generally optimistic outlook.
Bear case
The recent decline in stock price and underperformance in key segments like roofing and closets may indicate deeper issues that could affect profitability. The company's low profit margin of 2.9% raises concerns about financial sustainability in light of these challenges.
Recent Price Action
FirstService Corp's stock closed at C$182.44, reflecting a 2.75% decline in just one day and a drop of 1.58% over the week. The stock has struggled in the past month, down 8.68%, and is currently 12.03% lower year-to-date.
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Company News and Catalysts
Recent news highlights the challenges FirstService is facing, particularly in its roofing and closet segments, which have not performed well in Q2. On a positive note, the company has expanded its portfolio with new acquisitions, including the Sea Crest Oceanfront Resort in South Carolina and the Reverie at Looking Glass community in Colorado. Additionally, FirstService Residential released its 2026 BENCHMARK report on master-planned and lifestyle communities, which could provide insights into market trends.
Technical Picture
The technical indicators for FirstService Corp show a current price of C$182.44, which is below both the 50-day moving average of C$196.04 and the 200-day moving average of C$200.54, indicating a bearish trend. The stock's 52-week range is C$169.24 to C$266.98, suggesting it is currently trading within 14% of its low. With a beta of 0.90, the stock has shown lower volatility compared to the market. Recent trading volume was 127,232 shares, significantly below the 20-day average volume of 341,895 shares, indicating reduced investor interest.
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