GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (GFP.TO) has had a mixed performance recently, impacting market sentiment.
This week, GreenFirst's stock price declined slightly, closing down 2.06% on Thursday. However, it gained 2.15% over the past week, showing some volatility amid ongoing market challenges.
Investor takeaway: Investors should consider the recent financial results and operational changes as key factors affecting GreenFirst's stock performance. The company's extended holiday curtailment at its sawmills and significant net losses in recent quarters highlight the challenges it faces in the current market environment.
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GreenFirst Forest Products Inc
GFP.TO
GFP.TO
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$44.91M
52W high
$3.37
52W low
$1.59
1W change
+2.15%
Beta
0.93
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering GFP
Wall Street analysts forecast GFP stock price to rise 5.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$2.00
+5.3% Upside
Current Price
C$1.90
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on GFP's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
63.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
63.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-31.9%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$1.70
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.83 | C$1.47 – C$2.28 |
| 60 trading days | C$1.76 | C$1.29 – C$2.40 |
| 90 trading days | C$1.70 | C$1.16 – C$2.48 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
GreenFirst Reports Q1 2026 Loss of $20.7 Million
This loss reflects a continued struggle for the company, although it shows improvement from the previous quarter's loss of $32.8 million.
Bull case
The recent improvement in net losses from $32.8 million in Q4 2025 to $20.7 million in Q1 2026 indicates that GreenFirst is making progress in managing its financial challenges. This could signal a potential recovery in the future.
Bear case
Despite the slight recovery in net losses, the company still operates at a significant deficit, with a profit margin of -41.2% and a return on equity (ROE) of -128.4%. These factors may raise concerns among investors about the sustainability of its operations.
Price Action Overview
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GreenFirst Forest Products Inc closed at C$1.84, reflecting a 2.06% decline on Thursday. Over the past week, the stock gained 2.15%, but it has dropped 4.04% over the past month. Year-to-date, the stock is up 1.06%, showing some resilience amid market fluctuations.
Company News and Catalysts
Recent headlines indicate that GreenFirst reported a net loss of $20.7 million for Q1 2026, an improvement from the previous quarter's loss of $32.8 million. Additionally, the company announced adjustments to its holiday operating schedule, extending curtailments at three sawmills due to challenging market conditions. These developments may be influencing investor sentiment as the company navigates financial hardships.
Technical Picture
GreenFirst's stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of C$2.03 and its 200-day moving average of C$2.12, indicating a bearish trend. The stock's 52-week range is C$1.59 to C$3.37, with the current price representing about 14% of that range. The beta of 0.93 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. Trading volume has been relatively low, with the latest volume at 1,000 shares, which is only 0.49 times the 20-day average volume of 3,981 shares.
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