GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. has seen a notable decline in its stock price this week amid challenging market conditions.
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. (GFP.TO) experienced a sharp decline of 6.70% in its stock price today, contributing to a weekly loss of 4.74%. The company, which specializes in lumber products, reported its Q1 2026 financial results earlier this week, highlighting ongoing challenges in the market.
Investor takeaway: Investors should consider the company's recent performance, including significant net losses, and the broader market conditions affecting the softwood lumber sector. The recent financial results indicate ongoing volatility, which may impact future stock performance.
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GreenFirst Forest Products Inc
GFP.TO
GFP.TO
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc
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Market cap
$44.91M
52W high
$3.25
52W low
$1.59
1W change
-4.74%
Beta
0.93
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering GFP
Wall Street analysts forecast GFP stock price to rise 10.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$2.00
+10.5% Upside
Current Price
C$1.81
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on GFP's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
63.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
63.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$1.51
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.71 | C$1.37 – C$2.12 |
| 60 trading days | C$1.61 | C$1.18 – C$2.19 |
| 90 trading days | C$1.51 | C$1.03 – C$2.22 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
GreenFirst Reports Q1 2026 Net Loss of $20.7 Million
This figure represents an improvement from the $32.8 million loss in Q4 2025 but still highlights the company's ongoing financial struggles amid a challenging market.
Bull case
The company has made some progress in its financial results compared to previous quarters, reporting a smaller net loss in Q1 2026 than in Q4 2025. Additionally, support from Export Development Canada could offer liquidity during tough times.
Bear case
Despite these slight improvements, GreenFirst's financial health remains a concern. The company reported a significant net loss of $20.7 million for Q1 2026. Ongoing challenges in the softwood lumber market, including a 10% tariff imposed by the U.S., continue to pressure the company's profitability.
Recent Price Action
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GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. (GFP.TO) closed at C$1.95 today, down 6.70%. This decline is part of a broader trend, as the stock has lost 4.74% over the past week and is down 3.72% year-to-date.
Company Financial Results
GreenFirst recently announced its Q1 2026 financial results, reporting a net loss of $20.7 million. This is an improvement from the previous quarter's loss of $32.8 million. However, the company continues to face significant challenges, including a negative profit margin of -34.7% and a return on equity (ROE) of -113.9%. The recent financials indicate that while losses are narrowing, the company is still struggling to achieve profitability.
Technical Picture
The technical indicators for GreenFirst show a last close of C$1.95, which is 3.0% below its 50-day moving average of C$2.01 and 7.4% below its 200-day moving average of C$2.11. The stock has traded within a 52-week range of C$1.59 to C$3.25, currently sitting at approximately 22% of this range. With a beta of 0.93, the stock has been slightly less volatile than the market overall. The latest trading volume of 4,600 shares is above the 20-day average volume of 4,065 shares, indicating increased trading activity.
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