
Serabi Gold PLC has had mixed results lately. Today, the stock saw a slight uptick, but it has declined notably over the past week.
Serabi Gold PLC (SBI.TO) closed at C$5.06, marking a 0.20% increase on Thursday. However, the stock has dropped 4.71% over the past week and a significant 10.76% over the last month. The company, which operates in Brazil's Tapajós region, reported a 20% increase in gold production for Q1 2026, but this hasn’t positively impacted the stock performance in the short term.
Investor takeaway: Despite the recent production increases, the stock's performance has been disappointing, suggesting potential challenges for investors as they evaluate the company's future prospects.
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Serabi Gold PLC
SBI.TO
SBI.TO
Serabi Gold PLC
Market cap
$396.04M
P/E
4.2x
Div. yield
1.28%
Div. / share
$0.07
52W high
$6.86
52W low
$3.04
1W change
-4.71%
Beta
0.84
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering SBI
Wall Street analysts forecast SBI stock price to fall 70.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BearishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$1.50
-70.4% Upside
Current Price
C$5.06
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on SBI's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
54.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
63.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$4.23
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$4.77 | C$3.95 – C$5.76 |
| 60 trading days | C$4.49 | C$3.44 – C$5.87 |
| 90 trading days | C$4.23 | C$3.05 – C$5.87 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Stock Performance Overview: SBI.TO
With a 52-week range of C$3.04 to C$6.86, the stock is currently trading at about 53% of its range, indicating possible volatility ahead.
Bull case
Serabi Gold's reported gold production of 12,043 ounces for Q1 2026, along with a post-tax profit of $21 million, suggests operational strength and potential for future growth.
Bear case
The stock's decline over the past month, combined with a bearish outlook from analysts, raises concerns about the company's long-term viability and the market conditions affecting gold prices.
Recent Price Action
Serabi Gold PLC's stock price closed at C$5.06 on Thursday, reflecting a 0.20% increase for the day. Despite this minor uptick, the stock has declined 4.71% over the past week and 10.76% over the last month. Year-to-date, the stock is down 14.81%, indicating a challenging market environment for the company.
Company News and Headlines
Recent headlines highlight a 20% increase in gold production for Q1 2026, with the company reporting 12,043 ounces produced and a post-tax profit of $21 million. Additionally, the company has filed a technical report for its Palito Complex and Coringa Mine, which may provide insights into its operational capabilities. However, no major news has emerged to significantly impact the stock's performance in the short term.
Technical Picture
From a technical standpoint, Serabi Gold is currently trading below both its 50-day moving average (C$5.93) and its 200-day moving average (C$5.61), indicating bearish momentum. The stock has a beta of 0.84, showing lower volatility compared to the market. The latest trading volume of 59,919 shares is significantly higher than the 20-day average volume of 33,301 shares, suggesting increased investor interest or activity.
Insider Activity
No insider activity has been reported recently for Serabi Gold PLC, which may suggest a lack of significant shifts in management's confidence regarding the company's future.
Price Action Summary
As of the latest close, Serabi Gold PLC (SBI.TO) stands at C$5.06, reflecting a modest increase of 0.20% for the day. However, the broader trend indicates a concerning decline in stock value over the past weeks.
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