Tidewater Renewables Ltd has seen a notable uptick in its stock price this week amidst mixed news from analysts and operational updates.
This week, Tidewater Renewables Ltd (LCFS.TO) has experienced a positive price movement, closing at C$16.76, reflecting a 3.68% increase on Friday and a 2.21% increase over the week. The stock, which has gained an impressive 291.53% year-to-date, is currently navigating through a blend of operational successes and cautious analyst outlooks.
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Tidewater Renewables Ltd
LCFS.TO
LCFS.TO
Tidewater Renewables Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$586.21M
P/E
73.0x
52W high
$17.14
52W low
$2.60
1W change
+2.21%
Beta
0.74
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering LCFS
Wall Street analysts forecast LCFS stock price to fall 17.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BearishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$13.81
-17.0% Upside
Current Price
C$16.64
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on LCFS's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
38.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
57.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$19.89
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$17.66 | C$15.45 – C$20.19 |
| 60 trading days | C$18.74 | C$15.51 – C$22.65 |
| 90 trading days | C$19.89 | C$15.78 – C$25.09 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Investor takeaway: Investors may want to weigh the company's strong operational performance against the recent downgrades in revenue estimates by analysts, as this could impact future growth expectations.
Tidewater Renewables Ltd's stock has surged 291.53% YTD.
Despite the remarkable year-to-date performance, analysts have reduced their revenue estimates for 2026, which could pose risks to future stock performance.
Bull case
The strong year-to-date performance, along with operational updates like the completion of a planned outage at their renewable diesel refinery, suggests a solid foundation for future growth.
Bear case
However, analysts have downgraded revenue forecasts for 2026, indicating a more cautious outlook that could dampen investor enthusiasm despite recent operational successes.
Weekly Price Action
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Tidewater Renewables Ltd's stock closed at C$16.76 on Friday, marking a 3.68% increase for the day. Over the past week, the stock has appreciated 2.21%, contributing to a remarkable year-to-date gain of 291.53%. This performance highlights the company's significant recovery and growth trajectory in the renewable energy sector.
Recent Company News
This week, Tidewater Renewables Ltd reported a net income of C$10.0 million for Q1 2026, a 90% increase from the previous year, alongside an Adjusted EBITDA of C$24.1 million, marking a 904% rise. Additionally, the company successfully completed a seven-day planned outage at its renewable diesel and hydrogen complex in Prince George, British Columbia, returning to full operational capacity. However, analysts have downgraded revenue estimates for 2026 from C$396 million to C$348 million, indicating a more cautious outlook.
Technical Picture
From a technical perspective, Tidewater Renewables Ltd's stock is trading significantly above its 50-day moving average of C$13.05 and its 200-day moving average of C$7.66, suggesting strong upward momentum. The stock has a 52-week range of C$2.60 to C$17.14, with the current price sitting at 97% of this range. The stock's beta of 0.74 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market. However, the recent trading volume of 5,838 shares is notably lower than the 20-day average volume of 35,193 shares, suggesting reduced trading activity.
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