
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd is seeing a significant drop in its share price this week due to market fluctuations and recent news about its financial strategies.
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd (WFG.TO) saw its stock price fall this week, closing at C$95.17. This reflects a 3.55% drop for the day and a 4.85% decline over the week. The company has been in the news lately because of its refinancing efforts and a reset of its dividend, raising questions about its valuation in the current market.
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West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
WFG.TO
WFG.TO
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
Market cap
$7.73B
Div. yield
1.27%
Div. / share
$1.28
52W high
$104.53
52W low
$79.27
1W change
-4.85%
Beta
1.12
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering WFG · as of Oct 2, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast WFG stock price to rise 13.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$107.99
+13.5% Upside
Previously C$107.51 on Oct 1, 2026
Current Price
C$95.17
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on WFG's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
28.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
36.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+0.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$95.20
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$95.18 | C$86.16 – C$105.15 |
| 60 trading days | C$95.19 | C$82.68 – C$109.59 |
| 90 trading days | C$95.20 | C$80.11 – C$113.13 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Investor takeaway: Investors should think about the impact of West Fraser's recent refinancing and dividend changes, along with the overall market conditions affecting the materials sector. The company's performance indicators suggest a cautious approach, especially considering its negative profit margins and return on equity.
C$95.17
West Fraser's stock closed at C$95.17, showing a 4.85% decline over the past week amid ongoing market challenges.
Bull case
Supporters of West Fraser might highlight its strong market capitalization of about C$7.73 billion and a moderately positive outlook from analysts. They have set an average target price of C$107.99, suggesting potential upside from current levels.
Bear case
On the other hand, critics may point out the company's negative profit margins and return on equity, raising concerns about its financial health and ability to achieve sustainable growth in a competitive market.
Recent Price Action
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West Fraser Timber Co Ltd's stock closed at C$95.17, marking a 3.55% decline for the day and a 4.85% drop for the week. Over the past month, the stock has seen a modest increase of 3.01%, and year-to-date, it remains up 10.34%.
Company News
Recent headlines about West Fraser focus on its refinancing efforts and changes to its dividend policy. Analysts are questioning whether these strategic moves suggest that the stock is fully valued in the current market.
Technical Picture
The technical indicators for West Fraser show a last close of C$95.17, which is 1.5% below the 50-day moving average of C$96.58 and about 2.8% above the 200-day moving average of C$92.56. The stock has fluctuated within a 52-week range of C$79.27 to C$104.53, currently sitting at 63% of that range. The stock has a beta of 1.12, indicating it is slightly more volatile than the broader market. Today's volume was 142,896 shares, slightly below the 20-day average volume of 146,810 shares, reflecting a volume ratio of 0.97.
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