Costco's stock is experiencing a notable uptick following strong fiscal Q4 results.
Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) is rising today, gaining 2.45% in value after reporting solid fiscal Q4 results that exceeded analysts' expectations. The company's performance reflects a robust underlying business, even as some metrics showed signs of deceleration.
Investor takeaway: Investors are likely encouraged by Costco's ability to maintain strong sales growth and improve membership metrics, despite some challenges in revenue streams.
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Costco Wholesale Corp
COST.US
COST.US
Costco Wholesale Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$397.57B
P/E
45.0x
Div. yield
0.59%
Div. / share
$5.37
52W high
$1094.76
52W low
$840.35
1W change
+0.29%
Beta
0.85
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 38 analysts covering COST · as of Sep 21, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast COST stock price to rise 2579.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy3.97 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$1069.20
+2579.7% Upside
Previously C$1072.20 on Sep 17, 2026
Current Price
C$39.90
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (38 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on COST's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
17.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
19.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-17.2%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$843.03
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$878.30 | C$825.69 – C$934.26 |
| 60 trading days | C$860.48 | C$788.50 – C$939.03 |
| 90 trading days | C$843.03 | C$757.49 – C$938.22 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Costco's stock rises 2.45% following strong earnings report.
The company reported adjusted earnings of $6.60 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $6.48.
Bull case
Costco's comparable sales growth is strong, especially in its digital segment, and an increase in membership renewals shows that the business model is healthy. The company is also expanding its warehouse footprint, which could drive future growth.
Bear case
There are concerns about slowing membership fee growth and the impact of one-time benefits on earnings, which could dampen investor enthusiasm. Plus, competition in the retail sector remains fierce.
Strong Fiscal Q4 Results
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Costco reported adjusted earnings of $6.60 per share for fiscal Q4, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.48. Total revenues rose 11.1% year over year to $95.7 billion, exceeding expectations. Comparable sales increased by 9.4%, supported by a 3.3% rise in traffic and a 5.9% increase in average ticket size.
Membership Metrics Show Improvement
The company ended the quarter with 84.1 million paid members, a 3.8% increase year over year. Renewal rates improved to 92.3% in the U.S. and Canada, indicating strong member retention despite a slowdown in membership fee growth. This suggests that Costco's value proposition remains compelling to consumers.
Digital Sales Momentum
Costco's digitally enabled comparable sales surged by 19.5%, highlighting the effectiveness of its e-commerce strategy. The increase in site and app traffic by 30% further emphasizes the growing importance of digital channels in driving sales, positioning Costco well for future growth.
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