Stocks

Why Galaxy Digital (TSX: GLXY) Stock Rose Nearly 10% This Week

By Qayyum Rajan, CFA -
Stocks & ETFs:GLXY.TO
Photos provided by Pexels

Why Galaxy Digital (TSX: GLXY) Shares Rose This Week

Shares of Galaxy Digital jumped nearly 10% this week as crypto-linked stocks on the TSX rebounded alongside improving sentiment in digital assets and renewed attention on U.S. crypto regulation.

WHAT JUST HAPPENED

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Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd

GLXY.TO

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GLXY.TO

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$10.17 (-26.46%)
120 day period
$23.04$39.94$56.84Aug 12Dec 23Mar 20

Market cap

$11.05B

52W high

$64.37

52W low

$11.27

1W change

+0.00%

Beta

3.69

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering GLXY

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast GLXY stock price to rise 57.7% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$44.56

+57.7% Upside

Current Price

C$28.26

Last close

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on GLXY's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$6.81C$21.85C$36.88C$51.92C$66.96C$81.99TodayNov 11Jan 16Mar 20May 2Jun 15Jul 28

30-Day Vol

101.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

100.8%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$23.64

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$26.63C$18.75C$37.80
60 trading daysC$25.09C$15.28C$41.19
90 trading daysC$23.64C$12.88C$43.38

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Galaxy Digital closed at $30.72 on March 13, rising 9.95% over the past week and 9.17% in the latest trading session.
• Trading volume also picked up, with more than 1 million shares changing hands on March 13, well above earlier sessions this month.
• The stock has been volatile in March, including a 17% one-day surge on March 4 during a broader rebound in crypto-related equities.
• Commentary from Galaxy’s research team on the proposed U.S. CLARITY Act has also drawn attention to how upcoming regulation could reshape the digital-asset industry.

WHY THE MARKET CARES

The rally reflects improving sentiment across crypto-linked equities.

Companies tied to trading, mining, and digital-asset infrastructure often move more sharply than cryptocurrencies themselves. Galaxy’s business is heavily exposed to trading activity and digital-asset prices, which tends to amplify moves in both directions.

This week’s discussion around the CLARITY Act, a proposed U.S. bill aimed at defining how digital assets are regulated, has also pushed crypto policy back into focus for investors.

Even incremental progress toward clearer rules could open the door for more institutional participation in the sector. Firms like Galaxy Digital operate across trading, asset management, and blockchain infrastructure, making them particularly sensitive to regulatory shifts.

The stock is also known for outsized volatility. With a beta above 3, Galaxy Digital historically moves far more than the broader market when crypto sentiment swings.

THE KEY NUMBER

+9.95%

That’s the gain for Galaxy Digital over the past week, pushing the stock to $30.72 as of March 13.

Despite the rebound, the shares remain about 9.7% lower year-to-date and well below their 52-week high of $64.37.

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

The next move will likely depend on crypto market momentum and policy developments.

Higher trading activity across digital assets could support Galaxy’s trading and infrastructure businesses. The company has also been expanding its data-center and high-performance computing operations, which investors see as a longer-term growth area.

For now, the technical picture remains mixed. The stock is still trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting the recent rebound has not yet shifted the longer-term trend.

Analysts currently expect a loss of roughly $0.29 per share in 2026, with forecasts pointing to a potential return to profitability the following year.

BOTTOM LINE

This week’s move in Galaxy Digital highlights how quickly crypto-linked stocks can react to shifts in sentiment and policy headlines.

With regulation and digital-asset momentum driving the narrative, Galaxy Digital remains one of the most sensitive TSX stocks to changes in the crypto market.

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