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Why O'Reilly Automotive stock is tanking today

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:ORLY.US

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O'Reilly Automotive's stock has seen a notable decline, raising concerns among investors.

O'Reilly Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:ORLY) is experiencing a downturn in its stock price, closing at CA$85.16, reflecting a loss of 1.06% in today's trading session. This decline comes amid broader market fluctuations and specific challenges facing the company.

Investor takeaway: Investors should be cautious as O'Reilly Automotive's recent performance indicates potential headwinds that may impact future growth.

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O’Reilly Automotive Inc

ORLY.US

Full stock page →

ORLY.US

O’Reilly Automotive Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $2.33 (-2.64%)
72 day period
$82.73$88.13$93.53Jun 17Aug 10Sep 29

Market cap

$69.98B

P/E

27.3x

52W high

$105.39

52W low

$82.59

1W change

+0.29%

Beta

0.52

Analyst Price Targets

Based on 28 analysts covering ORLY · as of Sep 30, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise 25.3% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Buy

4.14 / 5.00

Avg. Target

C$107.88

+25.3% Upside

Previously C$107.80 on Sep 17, 2026

Current Price

C$86.07

Last close

Analyst Breakdown (28 analysts)

Strong Buy 14
Buy 6
Hold 7
Strong Sell 1
Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ORLY's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$66.63C$77.00C$87.37C$97.74C$108.10C$118.47TodayJun 17Aug 10Sep 29Nov 11Dec 25Feb 6

30-Day Vol

21.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

30.2%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+9.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$88.89

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$87.00C$80.76 – C$93.72
60 trading daysC$87.94C$79.16 – C$97.70
90 trading daysC$88.89C$78.14 – C$101.11

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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1.06% Decline in Stock Price

O'Reilly Automotive's stock has fallen to CA$85.16, reflecting investor concerns about its growth prospects.

Bull case

Despite today's decline, O'Reilly has shown strong operating margins and consistent same-store sales growth over the past two years. This suggests that the company has a resilient business model that can weather market fluctuations.

Bear case

The recent drop in stock price may signal doubts about the company's growth potential, especially with increasing competition in the auto parts sector. Investors are keeping a close eye on how O'Reilly navigates these challenges.

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Market Context

O'Reilly Automotive's stock fell 1.06% today, closing at CA$85.16. This decline is part of a broader trend where investors are reassessing the company's growth potential amidst increasing competition in the auto parts sector.

Challenges Ahead

Recent analyses suggest that while O'Reilly has maintained strong operating margins and growth in same-store sales, the competitive landscape may pose significant challenges. Investors are concerned that the company's existing offerings may be reaching saturation, leading to the current stock price drop.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 30, 2026
Last Updated: September 30, 2026

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