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Why Tesla stock is sliding today

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:TSLA.US

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Tesla's stock experiences a notable drop amid concerns over delivery numbers and earnings estimates.

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) saw its shares decline by 3.32% in today's session, closing at CA$359.75. This downturn comes as analysts express growing concerns about the company's upcoming delivery report and lowered earnings estimates.

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Tesla Inc

TSLA.US

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TSLA.US

Tesla Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $24.27 (-6.12%)
70 day period
$298.32$361.81$425.30Jun 17Aug 7Sep 25

Market cap

$1.47T

P/E

344.5x

52W high

$498.83

52W low

$297.38

1W change

+2.15%

Beta

1.84

Analyst Price Targets

Based on 47 analysts covering TSLA · as of Sep 25, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise 6.6% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Hold

3.38 / 5.00

Avg. Target

C$396.62

+6.6% Upside

Previously C$396.94 on Sep 21, 2026

Current Price

C$372.11

Last close

Analyst Breakdown (47 analysts)

Strong Buy 14
Buy 7
Hold 16
Sell 3
Strong Sell 7
Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on TSLA's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$180.30C$251.61C$322.92C$394.23C$465.55C$536.86TodayJun 17Aug 7Sep 25Nov 7Dec 21Feb 2

30-Day Vol

43.1%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

55.0%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$311.26

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$350.61C$302.12 – C$406.87
60 trading daysC$330.35C$267.65 – C$407.74
90 trading daysC$311.26C$240.53 – C$402.78

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Investor takeaway: Investors should remain cautious as Tesla's stock faces potential headwinds from disappointing delivery numbers and revised earnings forecasts, which could further pressure the stock in the near term.

3.32% Decline

Tesla's stock has dropped 3.32% today, reflecting investor anxiety over its upcoming delivery report.

Bull case

Tesla is still pushing boundaries in the electric vehicle market, with promising long-term growth prospects linked to its ambitious AI and energy projects.

Bear case

Recent cuts to earnings estimates by analysts, including JPMorgan, raise concerns about Tesla's short-term performance, especially with anticipated declines in delivery numbers.

Analysts Lower Earnings Estimates

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In a significant move, JPMorgan and other analysts have cut their earnings estimates for Tesla ahead of the company's delivery report. This reflects growing skepticism about Tesla's ability to maintain its delivery momentum amid increasing competition and market saturation.

Concerns Over Delivery Numbers

Tesla is expected to report a decline in delivery numbers compared to previous quarters, which has raised alarms among investors. With analysts predicting a challenging quarter, the stock's recent performance may be indicative of broader concerns regarding Tesla's growth trajectory.

Market Reaction and Future Outlook

The market's reaction to Tesla's stock decline today underscores how sensitive investors are to news about delivery performance and earnings projections. As Tesla continues to navigate these challenges, its future performance will depend on how effectively it can address these concerns and reassure shareholders.


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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 28, 2026
Last Updated: September 28, 2026

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