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Why Tilray Inc stock fell yesterday

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:TLRY.TO

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Tilray Inc faced a challenging trading day, closing down nearly 5%.

In yesterday's session, Tilray Inc (TLRY.TO) saw a significant decline, with shares dropping by 4.87%. This fall reflects ongoing concerns in the cannabis sector and investor sentiment regarding the company’s financial outlook.

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Tilray Inc

TLRY.TO

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TLRY.TO

Tilray Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $4.18 (-45.14%)
120 day period
$5.08$7.95$10.82Apr 13Jul 8Oct 1

Market cap

$750.73M

52W high

$32.30

52W low

$5.04

1W change

-11.81%

Beta

1.92

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering TLRY · as of Oct 2, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast TLRY stock price to rise 52.5% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$7.74

+52.5% Upside

Previously C$7.76 on Oct 1, 2026

Current Price

C$5.08

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on TLRY's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$2.56C$3.65C$4.74C$5.83C$6.91C$8.00TodayMay 26Jul 29Oct 1Nov 13Dec 27Feb 8

30-Day Vol

39.8%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

44.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$4.25

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$4.79C$4.17 – C$5.49
60 trading daysC$4.51C$3.71 – C$5.48
90 trading daysC$4.25C$3.35 – C$5.39

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Investor takeaway: Investors should remain cautious as Tilray's stock continues to show volatility, particularly in a sector facing regulatory and market challenges.

Tilray Inc's stock fell by 4.87% yesterday

The stock closed at CA$5.08, reflecting investor concerns over the company's performance and market conditions.

Bull case

If Tilray can effectively use its partnerships, like the recent agreement with Carlsberg, it might strengthen its market position and boost future revenue growth.

Bear case

Ongoing losses and negative profit margins could discourage potential investors, especially if the company doesn’t meet expectations in its upcoming financial results.

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Market Reaction and Performance

Tilray's stock fell 4.87% yesterday, closing at CA$5.08. This decline highlights the broader struggles within the cannabis market, where regulatory hurdles and fluctuating demand continue to affect stock performance.

Future Outlook

Looking ahead, Tilray is set to announce its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 on October 8, 2026. Investors will be closely watching for any signs of recovery or ongoing challenges in the upcoming reports. The company's recent partnership with Carlsberg may offer some optimism, but overall market sentiment remains cautious.


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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 2, 2026
Last Updated: October 2, 2026

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