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Why Timbercreek Financial Corp stock is near a 52-week low

By Wealth Awesome -

This move is archived. Current quotes and coverage live on the stock page.

Stocks & ETFs:TF.TO

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Timbercreek Financial Corp (TF.TO) is currently trading just above its 52-week low, presenting a crucial moment for investors to assess its potential.

Timbercreek Financial Corp (TF.TO) is hovering near its 52-week low, with a prior close of CA$5.66, just 1.25% above its low of CA$5.59. This positioning indicates that the stock is 18.66% below its 52-week high of CA$6.96. Such proximity to a 52-week low often prompts investors to consider both the risks and opportunities associated with the stock, especially within the financial sector where Timbercreek operates.

Investor takeaway: With a market cap of CA$468.4 million, Timbercreek Financial is a player in the financials sector, focusing on providing real estate financing solutions. Investors should evaluate the implications of its current price levels and market conditions before making decisions.

Timbercreek Financial Corp

TF.TO

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TF.TO

Timbercreek Financial Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $1.17 (-18.11%)
120 day period
$5.08$5.87$6.66May 14Aug 11Nov 4

Market cap

$437.76M

P/E

17.1x

Div. yield

13.45%

Div. / share

$0.69

52W high

$6.76

52W low

$4.97

1W change

+2.52%

Beta

0.92

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering TF · as of Oct 29, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast TF stock price to rise 13.4% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$6.00

+13.4% Upside

Previously C$6.13 on Oct 27, 2026

Current Price

C$5.29

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on TF's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$3.23C$3.95C$4.66C$5.38C$6.10C$6.82TodayJun 26Sep 1Nov 4Dec 17Jan 30Mar 14

30-Day Vol

23.8%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

20.4%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$4.42

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$4.98C$4.59 – C$5.41
60 trading daysC$4.70C$4.18 – C$5.27
90 trading daysC$4.42C$3.84 – C$5.10

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Bull case

The financial sector often benefits from rising interest rates, which could improve Timbercreek's lending margins. If the company can maintain its portfolio quality and manage risks effectively, it may rebound from its current low, especially if broader market conditions improve.

Bear case

On the flip side, being close to a 52-week low might indicate underlying issues, such as potential credit risks or a slowdown in the real estate market. If Timbercreek fails to show growth or if economic conditions worsen, the stock could decline further.

Sector Context

Operating within the financials sector, Timbercreek Financial focuses on real estate financing, a niche that can be sensitive to economic fluctuations. As interest rates rise, financial companies like Timbercreek may see improved margins, but they also face risks related to credit quality and market demand. Understanding the broader economic landscape is crucial for investors considering Timbercreek. For insights on similar stocks, check out our financial sector analysis.

Wealth Awesome
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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 9, 2026
Last Updated: October 15, 2026

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