Allied Gold reports after the market closes on November 4. The earnings-trends feed puts the two-analyst EPS consensus at C$0.62, but estimates have fallen sharply and another calendar lists C$0.20.
Allied Gold Corporation (TSX: AAUC) is set to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The earnings calendar lists expected EPS of C$0.20, while the earnings-trends feed shows a C$0.62 consensus from two analysts, down from C$1.49 a month ago. That difference matters when you assess the results. Allied operates gold mines in Africa, including Sadiola, Bonikro and Agbaou, and has expansion plans that could affect production and costs. The report will provide an update on earnings, but the supplied data includes no revenue consensus or company guidance for the quarter.
Recent earnings trend
Allied Gold Corporation
AAUC.TO
AAUC.TO
Allied Gold Corporation
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$3.66B
52W high
$43.77
52W low
$20.61
1W change
-4.85%
Beta
0.83
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AAUC · as of Nov 2, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast AAUC stock price to rise 67.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$43.97
+67.3% Upside
Previously C$43.89 on Oct 30, 2026
Current Price
C$26.28
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AAUC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
47.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
58.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-19.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$24.55
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$25.69 | C$21.80 – C$30.28 |
| 60 trading days | C$25.11 | C$19.90 – C$31.69 |
| 90 trading days | C$24.55 | C$18.47 – C$32.64 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | — | 0.2000 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.4400 | 0.3500 | +25.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-14 | 0.3900 | 0.3200 | +21.9% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-31 | 0.5600 | 0.6100 | -8.2% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.2900 | 0.3700 | -21.6% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | 0.1400 | 0.3100 | -54.8% |
Investor takeaway: The picture is mixed. Allied beat estimates in its two most recent reported quarters, after missing in the two before those. The trends feed’s September-quarter consensus is C$0.62, with a wide range of C$0.18 to C$1.05. It has dropped from C$1.49 over the past month. Check which estimate your data provider uses, and consider reported earnings alongside operating details. In the supplied snapshot, Allied is still loss-making over the past 12 months, with EPS of -C$1.88 and a profit margin of -4.19%. Visit the AAUC stock page for company data and related analysis.
C$0.62 EPS consensus—and a sharp cut in 30 days
The earnings-trends feed puts the September-quarter consensus at C$0.62, down from C$1.49 a month earlier. The estimate comes from two analysts and ranges from C$0.18 to C$1.05. The earnings calendar lists C$0.20, so check your data source before comparing the reported result with expectations. Year-ago EPS was C$0.29. The trends feed forecasts EPS growth of 112.7%.
Bull case
Allied beat estimates in its two most recent comparable quarters: EPS was C$0.44 versus C$0.35 expected for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, and C$0.39 versus C$0.32 for the quarter ended March 31. Its operating mines and planned expansions could support production growth. Company updates have also highlighted power arrangements and energy projects at Kurmuk and Sadiola as part of its efforts to manage costs and improve operations. The upcoming report may show how those plans are progressing, though the supplied information includes no September-quarter production forecast or revenue estimate.
Bear case
The recent run of beats follows two misses: EPS was C$0.56 versus C$0.61 expected in December 2025, and C$0.29 versus C$0.37 in September 2025. Estimates are uncertain. The trends feed has just two analysts, a range of C$0.18 to C$1.05, and a consensus that fell from C$1.49 over the past month. It shows one downward revision and no upward revisions. Shares closed at C$26.28, below their 50-day average of C$30.26 and 200-day average of C$36.27. Results also depend on operating costs and execution at existing mines and expansion projects.
Analysis
Allied is due to report after the market closes on November 4 for the quarter ended September 30. The available EPS estimates differ: the earnings calendar lists C$0.20, while the trends feed shows a C$0.62 consensus from two analysts, with a range of C$0.18 to C$1.05. Check which figure your data provider uses rather than treating them as interchangeable. The trends feed has no revenue consensus, and the supplied information includes no company guidance or quarter-specific operating figures. The report will give investors a chance to review earnings and any operating details Allied provides, but there is not enough information here to predict a particular result.
Analysis
Allied beat estimates in its two latest comparable quarters. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, EPS was C$0.44 against expectations of C$0.35, a 25.71% positive surprise. For the quarter ended March 31, EPS was C$0.39 versus C$0.32, a 21.88% surprise. Before those results, Allied missed estimates: C$0.56 versus C$0.61 in December 2025 and C$0.29 versus C$0.37 in September 2025. That makes two beats in the past four reported quarters. The trends feed lists year-ago EPS of C$0.29 and forecasts growth of 112.7%, but its consensus has fallen from C$1.49 to C$0.62 in a month. The sharp revision and small analyst sample make it harder to draw conclusions from the recent beats alone. The automatically inserted earnings trend table and chart show the quarter-by-quarter figures.
Analysis
Allied operates several gold mines in Africa, including Sadiola, Bonikro and Agbaou, and has expansion and exploration plans. Company updates have highlighted a long-term power agreement for Kurmuk and a solar and modern-diesel project at Sadiola as part of its cost and operating plans. The supplied information does not show how these projects affected the September quarter, so look to the reported operating details rather than assume they improved results.
The broader financial snapshot also warrants caution. Trailing-twelve-month EPS is -C$1.88, and the profit margin is -4.19%. Shares closed at C$26.28, below their 50-day average of C$30.26 and 200-day average of C$36.27. The AAUC analyst ratings section lists an average target of C$43.97, 67.3% above the last close. The Wealth Awesome price forecast is a statistical model, not investment advice. Its 90-day mean is C$24.55, with a 68% range of C$18.47 to C$32.64 and a 95% range of C$13.89 to C$43.39. These are price estimates, not earnings forecasts. The main questions for investors are which EPS estimate they use and what the report says about mine performance, costs and expansion plans.
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