Stocks

Will Aritzia Inc (ATZ) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

By Wealth Awesome Newsroom -
Stocks & ETFs:ATZ.TO
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Aritzia Inc is gearing up for its first quarter fiscal 2027 earnings report. With a solid history of exceeding expectations, investors are keenly watching what the latest figures will reveal.

Aritzia Inc (ATZ.TO) is set to report its first quarter fiscal 2027 earnings after market close on July 9, 2026. As the fashion retailer prepares to unveil its results, analysts and investors alike are eager to see if it can continue its trend of outperforming earnings expectations. The consensus estimate for this quarter stands at CA$0.87 per share, representing a significant year-over-year growth of 45.7% from CA$0.42 in the same quarter last year.

Recent earnings trend

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Aritzia Inc

ATZ.TO

Full stock page โ†’

ATZ.TO

Aritzia Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
โ†‘ $23.37 (18.44%)
120 day period
$105.77$139.48$173.20Jan 14Apr 10Jul 6

Market cap

$17.86B

P/E

48.8x

52W high

$174.52

52W low

$70.70

1W change

-2.28%

Beta

1.74

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering ATZ

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Wall Street analysts forecast ATZ stock price to rise 19.9% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

No Rating

Avg. Target

C$180.00

+19.9% Upside

Current Price

C$150.13

Last close

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ATZ's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$102.60C$139.09C$175.58C$212.08C$248.57C$285.06TodayFeb 26May 1Jul 6Aug 18Oct 1Nov 13

30-Day Vol

36.2%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

44.9%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$179.48

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1ฯƒ)
30 trading daysC$159.34C$140.61 โ€“ C$180.56
60 trading daysC$169.11C$141.71 โ€“ C$201.81
90 trading daysC$179.48C$144.54 โ€“ C$222.87

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯƒ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯƒ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 10 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-05-312026-07-09โ€”0.8700โ€”
2026-02-282026-05-071.15001.0300+11.7%
2025-11-302026-01-081.10000.8900+23.6%
2025-08-312025-10-090.59000.3900+51.3%
2025-05-312025-07-100.36000.3600+0.0%
2025-02-282025-05-010.83000.7000+18.6%
0.00000.57501.1500 24-0524-0824-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-02 Estimate Actual (โ‰ฅ0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: Aritzia's upcoming earnings report is critical for investors, especially given its recent performance and the potential for continued growth in both earnings and revenue. With a solid track record of beating estimates, the market will be watching closely for any signs of sustained momentum.

Consensus EPS Estimate at CA$0.87, Year-over-Year Growth of 45.7%

Aritzia's ability to achieve this estimate will depend on its revenue performance, which is projected to be CA$811.68 million for the quarter, reflecting a 22.4% increase compared to the previous year.

Bull case

If Aritzia meets or exceeds the consensus estimate, it could boost investor confidence and push the stock price higher. The company has shown resilience, beating estimates in three of the last four quarters, and itโ€™s projected to see strong revenue growth of 22.4% this quarter.

Bear case

On the flip side, if Aritzia falls short of the consensus estimate, it might trigger a negative reaction in the stock price, especially with the recent slight declines in its share value. Analysts will closely examine the margins and any commentary on future guidance, particularly given the current market conditions.

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