AtkinsRéalis has beaten earnings estimates in each of its last four reported quarters. Its next test comes before markets open on November 5, when analysts expect EPS of about C$1.13 and revenue growth of 8%.
AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (TSX: ATRL) is set to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The earnings calendar puts EPS consensus at C$1.13, based on seven analysts, with estimates ranging from C$1.01 to C$1.23. Revenue consensus is C$3.03 billion. That would mean year-over-year EPS growth of 2.3% and revenue growth of 8.0%.
Recent earnings trend
AtkinsRealis Group Inc
ATRL.TO
ATRL.TO
AtkinsRealis Group Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$14.89B
P/E
34.3x
Div. yield
0.09%
Div. / share
$0.08
52W high
$106.75
52W low
$79.14
1W change
+4.96%
Beta
0.96
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ATRL · as of Oct 22, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ATRL stock price to rise 24.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$115.93
+24.6% Upside
Previously C$116.27 on Oct 19, 2026
Current Price
C$93.02
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ATRL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
31.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
28.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+22.9%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$100.94
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$95.59 | C$85.87 – C$106.41 |
| 60 trading days | C$98.23 | C$84.40 – C$114.31 |
| 90 trading days | C$100.94 | C$83.83 – C$121.54 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 7 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-05 | — | 1.1100 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.9700 | 0.9300 | +4.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-14 | 0.8000 | 0.7400 | +8.1% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-27 | 1.0000 | 0.9700 | +3.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-13 | 1.1000 | 0.8800 | +25.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.8000 | 0.7200 | +11.1% |
The company has topped estimates in each of its past four reported quarters. This time, investors will also be watching to see whether revenue growth leads to earnings growth across its engineering and nuclear businesses. For more details, visit the AtkinsRéalis stock page.
Investor takeaway: The forecasts point to steady growth, not a sharp jump. Analysts expect revenue to grow faster than EPS, and the EPS estimate has not changed in the past 30 days. Four straight earnings beats are worth noting, but they don’t guarantee another one. Canadian investors should look beyond headline EPS to the quality of revenue growth and updates on project delivery, nuclear work and infrastructure projects. The shares closed at C$90.11 in the supplied market data. The company’s P/E was about 34.3, and its dividend yield was 0.09%.
C$1.13 EPS consensus for the September quarter
Seven analysts contribute to the C$1.13 EPS consensus, 2.3% above the year-ago figure of C$1.10. Revenue is forecast at C$3.03 billion, up 8.0% year over year. The EPS estimate is unchanged from 30 days ago. AtkinsRéalis has beaten estimates in its last four reported quarters, but those results don’t predict the next one.
Bull case
AtkinsRéalis could build on its revenue growth across engineering, infrastructure and nuclear work while keeping earnings above the C$1.13 consensus. Recent contract wins add context: the company announced three Florida transportation engineering contracts worth about US$135 million combined, along with a new Texas traffic-management contract. It also bought the remaining interest in David Evans Enterprises for about US$130 million, making the U.S. engineering firm a wholly owned subsidiary.
These developments support the company’s U.S. growth plans, but their contribution to quarterly results is not yet clear. A fifth straight earnings beat would extend the company’s recent run.
Bear case
Revenue growth may not translate into similar EPS growth. Analysts expect revenue to rise 8.0%, compared with EPS growth of 2.3%, so investors will be watching execution and profitability. AtkinsRéalis works on complex engineering and infrastructure projects, where delivery and margins can affect results. The supplied fundamentals snapshot shows a profit margin of 3.67%.
The recent acquisition also brings integration work, and the stock’s valuation could make investors less forgiving of a shortfall or cautious outlook. The EPS consensus has not changed in the past month, though one analyst revised estimates up and another revised them down.
Analysis
AtkinsRéalis will report before markets open on November 5 for the quarter ended September 30. The main benchmark is EPS of C$1.13, based on seven analysts’ estimates ranging from C$1.01 to C$1.23. Revenue consensus is C$3.03 billion.
Together, the forecasts point to modest EPS growth and faster revenue growth. Investors will want to see how well sales growth carries through to earnings. The EPS consensus has stayed at C$1.13 over the past 30 days, with one upward and one downward revision. Follow company details on the ATRL stock page.
Analysis
AtkinsRéalis beat EPS estimates in each of its last four reported quarters: C$0.97 versus C$0.93 for the quarter ended June 30, 2026; C$0.80 versus C$0.74 for March 31; C$1.00 versus C$0.97 for December 31, 2025; and C$1.10 versus C$0.88 for September 30, 2025.
The September 2025 result is also the comparison point for the current C$1.13 consensus. Past results offer useful context, but they don’t guarantee another beat. The automatically inserted recent-earnings trend table shows the quarter-by-quarter record.
Analysis
Recent announcements show activity across AtkinsRéalis’ U.S. engineering business. The company has three Florida Department of Transportation contracts worth about US$135 million combined and was selected to operate and manage a Texas Department of Transportation traffic management centre. On November 3, it announced the purchase of the remaining interest in David Evans Enterprises for about US$130 million, making the firm wholly owned.
These announcements provide business context, but they don’t show how much the projects or acquisition will contribute to this quarter’s earnings. The supplied fundamentals snapshot lists a P/E of about 34.3, a market capitalization near C$14.9 billion and a 0.09% dividend yield. See ATRL analyst ratings for the analyst-target summary.
The Wealth Awesome price forecast is based on a statistical model and is not financial advice. Its 90-day mean is C$100.94, with a 68% range of C$83.83 to C$121.54 and a 95% range of C$69.62 to C$146.35.
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