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Will Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp (AI) Beat Earnings Estimates in Its Next Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp is set to release its earnings report soon, and investors are closely watching for insights on its performance in a challenging market.

Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp (AI.TO) will announce its earnings on August 5, 2026, after the market closes. Analysts expect the company to report earnings per share (EPS) of C$0.25, which is a slight decline from last year's EPS of C$0.27. This upcoming report will be crucial for investors looking to assess the company's financial health in the current economic climate.

Recent earnings trend

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Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp

AI.TO

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AI.TO

Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$0.37 (-3.13%)
120 day period
$11.30$11.76$12.22Feb 10May 7Jul 31

Market cap

$551.74M

P/E

11.1x

Div. yield

7.92%

Div. / share

$0.93

52W high

$12.11

52W low

$10.34

1W change

-3.94%

Beta

0.85

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering AI

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast AI stock price to rise 12.5% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$12.88

+12.5% Upside

Current Price

C$11.45

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on AI's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$8.49C$9.33C$10.18C$11.02C$11.86C$12.70TodayMar 25May 29Jul 31Sep 12Oct 26Dec 8

30-Day Vol

14.3%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

11.9%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-27.3%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$10.39

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$11.08C$10.55C$11.64
60 trading daysC$10.73C$10.01C$11.50
90 trading daysC$10.39C$9.54C$11.31

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-050.2500
2026-03-312026-05-120.25000.2600-3.8%
2025-12-312026-02-260.25000.2600-3.8%
2025-09-302025-11-120.25000.2600-3.8%
2025-06-302025-08-070.27000.2400+12.5%
2025-03-312025-05-130.25000.2500+0.0%
0.00000.13500.2700 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: With a history of mixed earnings surprises and a moderately bullish analyst consensus, Atrium's upcoming earnings report could significantly influence its stock trajectory. Investors should pay attention to the EPS trend and any commentary on the mortgage market environment.

EPS Estimate: C$0.25, Down 5.6% Year-over-Year

Atrium's EPS estimate of C$0.25 for the upcoming report indicates a downturn from the previous year's EPS of C$0.27, reflecting anticipated pressures in the mortgage finance sector.

Bull case

If Atrium meets or exceeds the EPS estimate of C$0.25, it would show stability in its earnings despite a slight decline year-over-year. Positive commentary on its mortgage portfolio could also boost investor confidence.

Bear case

On the other hand, if Atrium reports an EPS below the estimate, it may raise concerns about its ability to handle current market challenges, especially given the recent trend of missed estimates in the past quarters.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
🔍 Fact-CheckedEditorial review

⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 4, 2026
Last Updated: August 4, 2026

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