With a solid track record of earnings surprises, A&W Food Services of Canada is gearing up for its next earnings report. Will the trend continue?
Recent earnings trend
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A&W Food Services of Canada
AW.TO
AW.TO
A&W Food Services of Canada
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$865.77M
P/E
16.0x
Div. yield
5.35%
Div. / share
$1.92
52W high
$37.16
52W low
$33.48
1W change
+1.40%
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AW · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast AW stock price to rise 10.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$40.00
+10.7% Upside
Current Price
C$36.12
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AW's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
16.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
14.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+2.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$36.51
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$36.31 | C$34.33 – C$38.40 |
| 60 trading days | C$36.41 | C$33.64 – C$39.41 |
| 90 trading days | C$36.51 | C$33.14 – C$40.23 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-23 | — | 0.5600 | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.4361 | 0.4141 | +5.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 0.6800 | 0.6300 | +7.9% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-17 | 0.6200 | 0.5800 | +6.9% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-24 | 0.6100 | 0.5800 | +5.2% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-02 | 0.4300 | 0.5300 | -18.9% |
A&W Food Services of Canada (AW.TO) is set to release its earnings report on July 23, 2026, before market open. The company has consistently outperformed earnings expectations in recent quarters, making this upcoming report highly anticipated among investors. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.56, slightly below the $0.61 reported a year ago. As the company navigates a competitive landscape, let's delve into what this earnings print could reveal.
Investor takeaway: Investors will be keen to see if A&W can maintain its momentum and deliver another earnings surprise, especially given the historical performance and current analyst estimates. The company's ability to adapt to market conditions will be crucial in determining its short-term outlook.
Consensus EPS Estimate: $0.56, Year-ago EPS: $0.61
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The expected EPS of $0.56 represents a notable decrease from $0.61 a year ago, reflecting the company's anticipated challenges in the current fiscal environment.
Bull case
A&W has a strong history of beating earnings estimates, achieving this in all four of the last comparable quarters. This consistent performance, along with a stable revenue growth projection of 2.6%, suggests that A&W might continue to surprise investors positively.
Bear case
Despite its impressive track record, A&W is facing a year-over-year EPS decline of about 10.3%. This drop could indicate challenges in maintaining profitability due to rising costs and increased competition in the fast-food sector, which may affect investor sentiment.
Earnings Timing and Context
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Analyst Consensus and Historical Performance
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Market Sentiment and Future Outlook
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Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
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