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Will Canadian National Railway Co (CNR) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

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Canadian National Railway reports before the market opens on October 30. Analysts expect adjusted earnings of C$2.03 per share and revenue of C$4.47 billion.

Canadian National Railway Co. (TSX: CNR), also known as CNR.TO, will report results for the quarter ended September 30. Analysts expect earnings per share to rise 10.9% from C$1.83 a year ago, while revenue is forecast to grow 7.2% to C$4.47 billion.

Recent earnings trend

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Canadian National Railway Co

CNR.TO

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CNR.TO

Canadian National Railway Co

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $25.18 (16.64%)
120 day period
$149.71$166.32$182.93May 6Jul 31Oct 27

Market cap

$106.61B

P/E

22.7x

Div. yield

2.08%

Div. / share

$3.60

52W high

$184.25

52W low

$125.06

1W change

+3.45%

Beta

0.99

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering CNR · as of Oct 20, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast CNR stock price to rise 7.4% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$189.47

+7.4% Upside

Previously C$189.74 on Oct 19, 2026

Current Price

C$176.47

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on CNR's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$136.52C$154.30C$172.08C$189.86C$207.63C$225.41TodayJun 18Aug 24Oct 27Dec 9Jan 22Mar 6

30-Day Vol

18.5%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

18.1%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-1.5%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$175.50

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$176.15C$165.27 – C$187.74
60 trading daysC$175.82C$160.67 – C$192.40
90 trading daysC$175.50C$157.17 – C$195.98

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 22 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-30—2.0800—
2026-06-302026-07-242.08001.9600+6.1%
2026-03-312026-04-291.80001.8100-0.6%
2025-12-312026-01-302.08001.9800+5.1%
2025-09-302025-10-311.83001.7700+3.4%
2025-06-302025-07-221.87001.8700+0.0%
0.00001.04002.0800 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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The EPS estimate has climbed from C$1.99 over the past month. Six analysts raised their estimates, and none lowered theirs. CNR beat estimates in three of its last four quarters, but that doesn’t guarantee another beat.

What investors should watch: Can earnings and revenue growth continue? What will management say about demand, network performance and costs? Estimates from 22 analysts range from C$1.92 to C$2.23 per share, so the C$2.03 consensus is a guide, not a precise forecast. For Canadian investors, the share-price reaction may depend as much on expectations and management’s outlook as on the reported earnings.

C$2.03

That’s the consensus EPS estimate for the September quarter, based on 22 analysts. Their estimates range from C$1.92 to C$2.23. The consensus has risen from C$1.99 over the past 30 days.

Bull case

There are a few positive signs. Analysts have raised their EPS estimates over the past month, and CNR beat earnings estimates in three of its last four quarters. In the latest quarter, ended June 30, the company earned C$2.08 per share, above the C$1.96 estimate.

CNR announced an expansion of its Le Mars transload centre in Iowa on October 27. The project shows how rail connections can support local businesses and supply chains, but there’s no indication it will add meaningfully to earnings this quarter.

Bear case

Another earnings beat isn’t certain. CNR narrowly missed estimates in the March quarter, and the range of forecasts includes results below the C$2.03 consensus. Revenue growth alone won’t tell the whole story. Investors will also want to see how profitable that growth is and hear management’s take on operating conditions.

CNR has a reported P/E ratio of 22.2, so the results and outlook could shape how investors view the stock’s valuation.

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Wealth Awesome
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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 28, 2026
Last Updated: October 28, 2026

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