With an upcoming earnings report set for August 12, 2026, Collective Mining Ltd faces scrutiny over its ability to meet or exceed analyst expectations.
Collective Mining Ltd (CNL.TO) is preparing to release its fiscal results for the period ending June 30, 2026, on August 12, 2026, after the market closes. Investors are keen to see if the company can break its recent pattern of missing earnings estimates, a challenge it has faced historically.
Recent earnings trend
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Collective Mining Ltd
CNL.TO
CNL.TO
Collective Mining Ltd
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Market cap
$1.83B
52W high
$30.12
52W low
$12.99
1W change
+14.34%
Beta
1.00
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CNL
Wall Street analysts forecast CNL stock price to rise 71.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$33.95
+71.6% Upside
Current Price
C$19.78
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CNL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
67.5%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
66.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$16.55
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$18.64 | C$14.77 – C$23.52 |
| 60 trading days | C$17.56 | C$12.63 – C$24.41 |
| 90 trading days | C$16.55 | C$11.05 – C$24.76 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-12 | — | -0.1200 | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | -0.1800 | -0.1400 | -28.6% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-30 | -0.1949 | -0.1000 | -94.9% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | -0.1800 | -0.1300 | -38.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | -0.1500 | -0.1400 | -7.1% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-13 | -0.3100 | -0.1100 | -181.8% |
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Investor takeaway: Keep an eye out for any signs of improvement in Collective Mining's operational performance and a potential shift in analyst sentiment, especially following its recent move to list on the Nasdaq.
Analysts Expect a Loss of $0.12 per Share
The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming report is -$0.12, which is slightly worse than last year’s figure of -$0.15, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Bull case
If Collective Mining can meet or exceed the -$0.12 EPS estimate, it could signal a positive shift and help restore investor confidence, particularly in light of its recent Nasdaq listing.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company continues to miss estimates, it may further damage investor trust and lead to a drop in stock price, especially given the current market volatility.
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