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Will Dollarama Inc (DOL) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:DOL.TO

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Dollarama Inc. is preparing for its next earnings report, and investors are eager to see if it can keep up its impressive record of beating estimates.

Scheduled for release on September 16, 2026, Dollarama Inc. (DOL.TO) will share its earnings for the fiscal period ending July 31, 2026. With a history of exceeding expectations in recent quarters, there’s growing anticipation about whether the company can maintain its momentum.

Recent earnings trend

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Dollarama Inc

DOL.TO

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DOL.TO

Dollarama Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $12.90 (7.45%)
120 day period
$165.50$180.57$195.63Apr 16Jul 13Oct 6

Market cap

$49.15B

P/E

36.6x

Div. yield

0.25%

Div. / share

$0.45

52W high

$209.57

52W low

$163.25

1W change

+0.75%

Beta

0.31

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering DOL · as of Sep 23, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast DOL stock price to rise 11.5% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$207.47

+11.5% Upside

Previously C$207.94 on Sep 21, 2026

Current Price

C$186.03

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on DOL's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$131.45C$158.44C$185.42C$212.40C$239.38C$266.37TodayMay 29Aug 4Oct 6Nov 18Jan 1Feb 13

30-Day Vol

27.0%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

26.1%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+1.8%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$187.21

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$186.42C$169.82 – C$204.65
60 trading daysC$186.81C$163.73 – C$213.15
90 trading daysC$187.21C$159.28 – C$220.03

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 7 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-07-312026-09-16—0.9100—
2026-04-302026-06-111.05000.9900+6.1%
2026-01-312026-03-241.43001.4000+2.1%
2025-10-312025-12-111.17001.1000+6.4%
2025-07-312025-08-271.16001.1500+0.9%
2025-04-302025-06-110.95000.8400+13.1%
0.00000.71501.4300 24-0724-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-04 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: Keep an eye on Dollarama's upcoming earnings report. The company has consistently outperformed estimates in the past, and analysts expect continued growth in both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue.

EPS Estimated at $0.91 with Revenue Consensus of $2.01B

Dollarama is projected to report EPS growth of 9.2% year-over-year, building on last year's EPS of $1.16. The revenue consensus shows a strong growth estimate of 16.7%, indicating solid demand for its products.

Bull case

Dollarama has shown strong performance, consistently beating earnings estimates over the last four quarters. With a positive Earnings ESP of +3.58% and a bullish consensus rating, the company seems well-positioned for another earnings surprise.

Bear case

However, despite its strong track record, there are concerns about recent stock performance, which has dropped nearly 12% over the past month. This decline might reflect market skepticism about future growth, even as estimates remain optimistic.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 14, 2026
Last Updated: October 7, 2026

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