Franco-Nevada Corporation has consistently outperformed expectations in its recent earnings reports. Will this trend continue as it approaches its next release?
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV.TO) is set to announce its latest earnings on August 11, 2026, after the market closes. With a strong track record of beating estimates, investors are eager to see if the company can keep up its momentum in the upcoming report.
Recent earnings trend
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Franco-Nevada Corporation
FNV.TO
FNV.TO
Franco-Nevada Corporation
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$65.35B
P/E
30.1x
Div. yield
0.47%
Div. / share
$1.64
52W high
$386.12
52W low
$252.28
1W change
-8.59%
Beta
0.96
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FNV · as of Oct 2, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FNV stock price to rise 20.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$405.03
+20.7% Upside
Previously C$405.64 on Oct 1, 2026
Current Price
C$335.63
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FNV's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
33.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
39.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$401.25
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$356.21 | C$317.87 – C$399.19 |
| 60 trading days | C$378.06 | C$321.81 – C$444.14 |
| 90 trading days | C$401.25 | C$329.41 – C$488.76 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 7 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-11 | — | 1.9700 | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-27 | 3.3270 | 2.0840 | +59.6% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-10 | 1.8500 | 1.6700 | +10.8% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-03 | 1.4300 | 1.3800 | +3.6% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-11 | 1.2400 | 1.1200 | +10.7% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-08 | 1.0700 | 1.0000 | +7.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Given Franco-Nevada's history of exceeding EPS estimates and the positive growth outlook, investors should prepare for a potentially strong earnings report, but remain cautious of broader market influences on gold prices.
EPS Growth Estimated at 82.6% Year-Over-Year
The consensus EPS estimate of $1.97 for the upcoming quarter shows significant growth from $1.24 in the same period last year, highlighting Franco-Nevada's ability to take advantage of favorable market conditions.
Bull case
Franco-Nevada has a solid history of beating EPS estimates, achieving a remarkable 100% success rate in its last four quarters. The expected EPS for the upcoming report is $1.97, indicating strong growth driven by increased revenues and higher gold prices.
Bear case
Despite its historical success, external factors like fluctuating gold prices could affect Franco-Nevada's performance. Analysts have pointed out potential market volatility, which could lead to unexpected results.
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