Frontera Energy reports third-quarter earnings after the TSX closes on November 11. One analyst expects EPS of C$0.19. The company beat estimates in two of its last four comparable quarters.
Frontera Energy Corp. (TSX: FEC) will report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after markets close on Wednesday, November 11. Management will discuss the results on a conference call Thursday, November 12, at 11 a.m. Eastern.
Recent earnings trend
Frontera Energy Corp
FEC.TO
FEC.TO
Frontera Energy Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$491.14M
Div. yield
1.33%
Div. / share
$0.09
52W high
$9.30
52W low
$2.59
1W change
-8.20%
Beta
0.74
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FEC · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FEC stock price to rise 191.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$20.22
+191.4% Upside
Current Price
C$6.94
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FEC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
35.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
32.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$5.81
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.54 | C$5.78 – C$7.40 |
| 60 trading days | C$6.16 | C$5.17 – C$7.34 |
| 90 trading days | C$5.81 | C$4.69 – C$7.19 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-14 | 0.5735 | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-15 | -0.3041 | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-17 | -13.2046 | — | — |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-13 | 0.4689 | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | -8.1502 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-06 | 0.4837 | — | — |
The earnings calendar lists EPS consensus at C$0.19, based on one analyst. It has no usable revenue estimate. Frontera owns a 35% stake in Colombia’s ODL crude pipeline and Puerto Bahia maritime terminal. LPG storage and LNG regasification projects are under development at the terminal. For Canadian investors, the report offers an update on earnings from these infrastructure assets, but the single-analyst estimate is a limited benchmark.
Investor takeaway: Treat the C$0.19 estimate as a reference point, not a broad analyst consensus. Frontera beat estimates in two of its last four reported quarters, but that short record doesn’t predict another beat. Compare reported EPS with the company’s operational and financial updates in the release and on the November 12 call. Supplied fundamentals show negative trailing EPS and profit margin, while the portfolio is anchored by Colombian pipeline and terminal assets.
C$0.19
That’s the EPS consensus for the quarter ended September 30, based on one analyst. The estimate hasn’t changed in 30 days. With so little analyst coverage, it’s a narrow reference rather than a broad market expectation.
Bull case
Frontera has a stake in a major Colombian crude pipeline and owns the Puerto Bahia terminal. It beat estimates in two of its last four comparable quarters. The C$0.19 EPS estimate is also above the year-ago result of -C$0.41. If earnings improve and the company reports progress on its infrastructure projects, investors may see signs of stronger operations.
Bear case
One analyst’s estimate and the lack of a useful revenue consensus leave little basis for comparison. Frontera’s supplied trailing EPS is -C$11.79, and its profit margin is -61.76%. These figures highlight the risk behind a single-quarter estimate. The share price is also below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. In the last four comparable quarters, Frontera had two beats and two misses. A possible beat would not, on its own, show that the company is on a sustained recovery.
Analysis
Frontera Energy plans to release third-quarter results after markets close on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. The quarter ended September 30. Senior management will hold a conference call Thursday, November 12, at 11 a.m. Eastern.
The earnings calendar lists EPS consensus of C$0.19, with a range of C$0.19 to C$0.19 from one analyst. The estimate is unchanged from 30 days ago. The calendar shows revenue consensus of $0 from zero analysts, so it offers no meaningful revenue benchmark. Year-ago EPS was -C$0.41, and the calendar estimates EPS growth of 146.3%. That comparison is against a loss and doesn’t guarantee stronger underlying performance.
The calendar entry is marked as sparse and has no EPS headline fields. Wait for Frontera’s reported results rather than reading a beat or miss into the calendar. Visit the FEC.TO stock page for company and share information.
Analysis
Frontera describes itself as a Canadian public company focused on energy infrastructure in Colombia. Its portfolio includes a 35% stake in the ODL crude oil pipeline and 99.97% ownership of Puerto Bahia, a multimodal maritime terminal. The company says the terminal’s liquids logistics infrastructure is complemented by LPG storage and LNG regasification projects under development.
The supplied earnings history shows two beats in the last four comparable quarters. Frontera reported EPS of C$0.43 against C$0.30 expected, then C$0.37 against C$0.14 expected. It later missed with -C$0.13 versus C$0.24 and C$0.22 versus C$0.46. This mixed record is useful context, but it doesn’t establish a pattern of repeated beats. The upcoming estimate comes from one analyst, so it has limited breadth.
The report will be more useful when you consider EPS alongside operational and financial updates. The calendar has no usable revenue estimate, so there’s no consensus figure to compare with the quarter’s results.
Analysis
The key question is whether the results support the positive EPS estimate and what management says about the infrastructure portfolio. Look for details on operating and financial results, along with any updates on Puerto Bahia’s LPG storage and LNG regasification projects. The earnings notice confirms the release and call times but says nothing about quarterly performance.
Frontera’s supplied fundamentals show trailing EPS of -C$11.79 and a profit margin of -61.76%. Its dividend yield is listed at 1.33%. These figures provide context, but they don’t replace the third-quarter results. The latest supplied share data also show the stock below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Share-price movements don’t tell you what the earnings release will show.
The analyst price-target section lists an average target of C$20.22, compared with a last close of C$6.94. That target is an analyst estimate, not a promised return. The Wealth Awesome price forecast is a separate statistical model. Its 90-day mean is C$5.81, with a 68% range of C$4.69 to C$7.19. It is not financial advice. Neither the target nor the model predicts the earnings result.
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