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Will MDA Ltd (MDA) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:MDA.TO

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MDA Ltd is gearing up for its next earnings report, and investors are eager to see if the company can keep up its recent momentum.

Scheduled for release before the market opens on August 7, 2026, MDA Ltd's upcoming earnings report is highly anticipated. With a consensus EPS estimate of $0.36, this aerospace and defense company has a solid track record, having exceeded earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters. As MDA continues to expand its operations and secure significant contracts, this report could shed light on its financial health and future prospects.

Recent earnings trend

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MDA Ltd

MDA.TO

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MDA.TO

MDA Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $6.03 (-13.05%)
120 day period
$38.80$52.96$67.13Apr 21Jul 16Oct 9

Market cap

$6.51B

P/E

50.9x

52W high

$67.90

52W low

$20.85

1W change

-5.55%

Beta

0.19

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering MDA · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast MDA stock price to rise 65.5% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$66.50

+65.5% Upside

Current Price

C$40.18

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on MDA's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$19.07C$27.55C$36.04C$44.52C$53.00C$61.48TodayJun 3Aug 7Oct 9Nov 21Jan 4Feb 16

30-Day Vol

44.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

61.7%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$33.61

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$37.86C$32.43 – C$44.20
60 trading daysC$35.67C$28.66 – C$44.40
90 trading daysC$33.61C$25.71 – C$43.94

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 9 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-07—0.3600—
2026-03-312026-05-070.38000.3200+18.8%
2025-12-312026-03-040.45000.4000+12.5%
2025-09-302025-11-140.35000.3500+0.0%
2025-06-302025-08-070.38000.3000+26.7%
2025-03-312025-05-080.29000.2600+11.5%
0.00000.22500.4500 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: Keep an eye on MDA Ltd's upcoming earnings report for insights into its financial performance and strategic direction. The company's recent contract wins and growth initiatives could be key to meeting or exceeding analyst expectations.

Consensus EPS Estimate: $0.36

MDA Ltd's EPS estimate shows a decrease from last year's $0.38, suggesting potential challenges in earnings growth despite recent contract wins.

Bull case

MDA Ltd has a strong history of beating earnings estimates, with three out of the last four quarters showing positive surprises. Recent contract awards, like the $474 million expansion of the Telesat Lightspeed LEO constellation, highlight the company's growing market presence and potential for revenue growth. Additionally, successfully closing a $600 million offering of senior unsecured notes reflects strong investor confidence and financial stability.

Bear case

Despite its solid track record, MDA Ltd faces challenges, including a projected 12% decline in EPS compared to the same period last year. If the company doesn't meet the consensus EPS estimate of $0.36, it could raise concerns about its growth trajectory. Plus, the aerospace and defense sector is highly competitive, and any setbacks in contract negotiations or project execution could affect financial performance.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 6, 2026
Last Updated: August 6, 2026

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