As Medexus Pharmaceuticals prepares to report its fiscal Q4 2026 results, investors are keenly interested in whether the company can continue its trend of exceeding earnings expectations.
Scheduled for after market close on August 10, 2026, Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc (MDP.TO) is set to release its earnings for the quarter ending June 30, 2026. With a consensus EPS estimate of 0.11, the upcoming report will be closely scrutinized given the company's recent performance history, which includes three earnings beats in the last four quarters.
Recent earnings trend
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Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc
MDP.TO
MDP.TO
Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$157.13M
52W high
$5.50
52W low
$2.51
1W change
-1.57%
Beta
1.83
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering MDP · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast MDP stock price to rise 45.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$7.25
+45.0% Upside
Current Price
C$5.00
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on MDP's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
30.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
38.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$6.01
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$5.34 | C$4.80 – C$5.94 |
| 60 trading days | C$5.67 | C$4.87 – C$6.59 |
| 90 trading days | C$6.01 | C$5.00 – C$7.23 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-10 | — | 0.1100 | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-06-25 | -0.1135 | 0.0100 | -1235.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-11 | 0.0034 | -0.0400 | +108.5% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | -0.0100 | -0.0700 | +85.7% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-12 | 0.0100 | -0.0800 | +112.5% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-06-26 | -0.0259 | -0.1300 | +80.1% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should watch for Medexus's ability to maintain momentum, especially considering its strong product-level performance with GRAFAPEX. The potential for significant EPS growth of 245.3% year-over-year could influence market sentiment and share price movements.
EPS Estimate of 0.11, with a Year-Over-Year Growth Projection of 245.3%
The anticipated EPS growth reflects a significant turnaround from the prior year, indicating strong operational improvements and potential for enhanced profitability, but also raises expectations for the upcoming report.
Bull case
If Medexus can meet or exceed the EPS estimate of 0.11, it would boost investor confidence and could lead to a positive re-rating of the stock. The company has shown resilience, with strong product performance and a bullish analyst target of C$6.81, suggesting substantial upside.
Bear case
On the other hand, if Medexus falls short of expectations, especially after a recent EPS revision downwards from 0.13 to 0.10, it could trigger a negative reaction in the stock. Investors may also be cautious due to the company's recent history of volatility in earnings surprises.
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