As MTY Food Group prepares for its upcoming earnings report, investors are curious to see if the company can keep up its trend of exceeding expectations.
MTY Food Group Inc (TSX: MTY) will release its second-quarter results on July 10, 2026, before the market opens. With a consensus EPS estimate of $1.11, everyone is watching to see if the company can maintain its recent performance, especially after mixed results in previous quarters. Historically, MTY has beaten estimates in two of its last four reporting periods, which adds to the excitement surrounding this announcement.
Recent earnings trend
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MTY Food Group Inc
MTY.TO
MTY.TO
MTY Food Group Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$782.32M
P/E
7.0x
Div. yield
4.10%
Div. / share
$1.40
52W high
$44.59
52W low
$31.52
1W change
-0.32%
Beta
1.00
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering MTY
Wall Street analysts forecast MTY stock price to rise 23.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$41.67
+23.1% Upside
Current Price
C$33.86
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on MTY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
44.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
31.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$28.32
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$31.90 | C$27.41 – C$37.13 |
| 60 trading days | C$30.06 | C$24.26 – C$37.25 |
| 90 trading days | C$28.32 | C$21.78 – C$36.83 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-10 | — | 1.1100 | — |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-10 | 0.9800 | 0.8300 | +18.1% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-02-19 | 1.8800 | 0.8300 | +126.5% |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-10 | 1.1900 | 1.2300 | -3.3% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-11 | 1.1700 | 1.2200 | -4.1% |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-11 | 0.8700 | 0.8450 | +3.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should get ready for MTY Food Group's upcoming earnings report, considering its recent performance and the challenges in the restaurant sector. With a consistent track record of beating estimates, this report will be a key indicator of the company's resilience and future growth potential.
EPS Estimate: $1.11
MTY's EPS estimate shows a year-over-year growth expectation of 0%, suggesting potential stagnation in earnings despite previous strong performance.
Bull case
If MTY can effectively leverage its brand portfolio and navigate the current economic landscape, it might not only meet but exceed the EPS estimates. The company's history of strong surprises could lead to positive market sentiment and an increase in stock value.
Bear case
On the other hand, if MTY fails to meet the EPS estimates amid declining revenue expectations and broader economic challenges, it could face downward pressure on its stock price. Investors should be cautious of potential disappointments arising from the ongoing competitive environment in the restaurant sector.
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