As Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd approaches its upcoming earnings report, investors are closely watching the company’s performance in the challenging metals and mining sector.
Scheduled for release on August 14, 2026, after market close, Northern Dynasty will report its earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. This report is significant because the company hasn’t recorded a positive earnings surprise in its last four quarters, and the consensus EPS estimate is -$0.01. Investors are left wondering if this trend will continue or if the company can finally turn things around.
Recent earnings trend
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Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
NDM.TO
NDM.TO
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.13B
52W high
$4.19
52W low
$1.11
1W change
-3.37%
Beta
0.59
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering NDM
Wall Street analysts forecast NDM stock price to fall 60.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BearishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$0.80
-60.2% Upside
Current Price
C$2.01
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on NDM's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
68.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
76.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$1.68
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.89 | C$1.49 – C$2.40 |
| 60 trading days | C$1.78 | C$1.27 – C$2.50 |
| 90 trading days | C$1.68 | C$1.11 – C$2.54 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-14 | — | -0.0100 | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-14 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-30 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | +0.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-13 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | +0.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | -0.0100 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-12 | -0.0100 | — | — |
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Investor takeaway: With a history of consistent misses and a negative analyst consensus, Northern Dynasty faces scrutiny in its upcoming earnings report. Investors should carefully consider the risks, especially given the lack of revenue expectations and ongoing litigation issues.
EPS Estimate: -$0.01
Northern Dynasty has consistently reported an EPS of -$0.01 in the last four quarters, with no surprises, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Bull case
If Northern Dynasty can surprise investors with a narrower loss or even break even, it could signal a potential turnaround and help restore some confidence. Additionally, any positive developments in their ongoing legal battles could improve sentiment.
Bear case
The company’s continued inability to meet earnings estimates, combined with a lack of revenue and ongoing litigation challenges, may further erode investor confidence. Analysts have set a bearish target, indicating significant downside potential from current levels.
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