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Will Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd (NDM) Beat Earnings Estimates in Its Next Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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As Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd approaches its upcoming earnings report, investors are closely watching the company’s performance in the challenging metals and mining sector.

Scheduled for release on August 14, 2026, after market close, Northern Dynasty will report its earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. This report is significant because the company hasn’t recorded a positive earnings surprise in its last four quarters, and the consensus EPS estimate is -$0.01. Investors are left wondering if this trend will continue or if the company can finally turn things around.

Recent earnings trend

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Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd

NDM.TO

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NDM.TO

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$0.58 (32.58%)
120 day period
$1.56$2.42$3.29Feb 20May 19Aug 12

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Market cap

$1.33B

52W high

$4.19

52W low

$1.10

1W change

+0.00%

Beta

0.55

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering NDM

📉

Wall Street analysts forecast NDM stock price to fall 66.1% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bearish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$0.80

-66.1% Upside

Current Price

C$2.36

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on NDM's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$0.70C$1.67C$2.64C$3.60C$4.57C$5.53TodayApr 6Jun 9Aug 12Sep 24Nov 7Dec 20

30-Day Vol

83.8%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

79.1%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$1.97

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$2.22C$1.67C$2.97
60 trading daysC$2.10C$1.39C$3.15
90 trading daysC$1.97C$1.20C$3.26

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-14-0.0100
2026-03-312026-05-14-0.0100-0.0100+0.0%
2025-12-312026-03-30-0.0100-0.0100+0.0%
2025-09-302025-11-13-0.0100-0.0100+0.0%
2025-06-302025-08-13-0.0100
2025-03-312025-05-12-0.0100
-0.0419-0.02090.0000 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: With a history of consistent misses and a negative analyst consensus, Northern Dynasty faces scrutiny in its upcoming earnings report. Investors should carefully consider the risks, especially given the lack of revenue expectations and ongoing litigation issues.

EPS Estimate: -$0.01

Northern Dynasty has consistently reported an EPS of -$0.01 in the last four quarters, with no surprises, indicating ongoing operational challenges.

Bull case

If Northern Dynasty can surprise investors with a narrower loss or even break even, it could signal a potential turnaround and help restore some confidence. Additionally, any positive developments in their ongoing legal battles could improve sentiment.

Bear case

The company’s continued inability to meet earnings estimates, combined with a lack of revenue and ongoing litigation challenges, may further erode investor confidence. Analysts have set a bearish target, indicating significant downside potential from current levels.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 13, 2026
Last Updated: August 13, 2026

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