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Will NovaGold Resources Inc (NG) Beat Earnings Estimates in Its Next Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:NG.TO

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As NovaGold prepares to unveil its latest earnings, investors are closely watching the company's path amid changing gold prices and strategic acquisitions.

NovaGold Resources Inc (NG.TO) will report its earnings on October 8, 2026, before the market opens. Investors will pay particular attention to the company's performance metrics, especially with the consensus EPS estimate at -$0.08. This report is crucial as the company aims to strengthen its position in the gold mining sector, especially with plans to acquire the remaining interest in Donlin Gold.

Recent earnings trend

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NovaGold Resources Inc

NG.TO

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NG.TO

NovaGold Resources Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $4.57 (-32.83%)
120 day period
$7.28$11.13$14.97Apr 14Jul 9Oct 2

Market cap

$4.10B

52W high

$19.69

52W low

$7.12

1W change

-0.74%

Beta

2.26

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering NG · as of Sep 29, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast NG stock price to rise 124.1% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$20.95

+124.1% Upside

Previously C$20.70 on Sep 17, 2026

Current Price

C$9.35

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on NG's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$5.25C$8.89C$12.52C$16.15C$19.79C$23.42TodayMay 27Jul 30Oct 2Nov 14Dec 28Feb 9

30-Day Vol

60.0%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

74.4%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+48.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$11.10

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$9.90C$8.05 – C$12.18
60 trading daysC$10.48C$7.82 – C$14.05
90 trading daysC$11.10C$7.75 – C$15.89

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-08-312026-10-08—-0.0800—
2026-05-312026-06-24-0.0900-0.0700-28.6%
2026-02-282026-04-01-0.0600-0.0800+25.0%
2025-11-302026-01-22-0.0414-0.0400-3.5%
2025-08-312025-10-01-0.0600-0.0500-20.0%
2025-05-312025-06-25-0.2100-0.0500-320.0%
-0.2100-0.10500.0000 24-0824-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-05 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: With a historical beat rate of 25% in the last four quarters, NovaGold's upcoming earnings report is significant. Investors should consider both the EPS estimates and the broader market conditions affecting gold prices, as well as the implications of the upcoming shareholder vote on its acquisition plans.

EPS Estimate: -$0.08

This shows an improvement from the year-ago EPS of -$0.06, suggesting a potential growth trend despite ongoing challenges in the gold market.

Bull case

A strong earnings report could indicate a recovery in NovaGold's finances, particularly if the company can reduce its losses and get closer to the consensus estimate. Additionally, acquiring Donlin Gold could boost production capabilities and long-term profitability, making the stock more appealing to investors.

Bear case

On the other hand, if the company reports a larger loss than expected, it may raise concerns about its operational efficiency and cost management. Not securing shareholder approval for the acquisition could also negatively impact investor sentiment.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 6, 2026
Last Updated: October 6, 2026

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