Investors are curious if O'Reilly Automotive will surpass earnings expectations in the upcoming report.
O'Reilly Automotive Inc is under scrutiny as speculation arises regarding its ability to beat earnings estimates in its forthcoming report. The stock closed at US$85.98, reflecting a decline of 0.72% for the day, while showing a slight increase of 1.05% over the past week and a modest gain of 0.24% over the past month. Year-to-date, the stock has decreased by 4.77%.
Investor takeaway: Investors should monitor the company's earnings performance closely, as it may significantly influence stock valuations going forward.
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O’Reilly Automotive Inc
ORLY.US
ORLY.US
O’Reilly Automotive Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$70.10B
P/E
27.6x
52W high
$102.71
52W low
$82.59
1W change
+1.05%
Beta
0.54
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 29 analysts covering ORLY · as of Oct 5, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise 24.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy4.41 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$107.35
+24.8% Upside
Current Price
C$86.03
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (29 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ORLY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
20.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
28.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+7.4%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$88.33
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$86.79 | C$80.90 – C$93.11 |
| 60 trading days | C$87.56 | C$79.28 – C$96.70 |
| 90 trading days | C$88.33 | C$78.21 – C$99.76 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Current Share Price at US$85.98, Down 0.72% in One Day
The stock's 52-week range is US$82.59 to US$102.71, indicating potential volatility as the earnings report approaches.
Bull case
If O'Reilly exceeds earnings expectations, it could boost investor confidence and align the stock price more closely with analyst targets. This might lead to a positive market reaction.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet estimates, it could create negative sentiment and further impact the stock, which has already faced a year-to-date decline.
Speculation Surrounds Upcoming Earnings Report
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The question of whether O'Reilly Automotive will beat earnings estimates is currently a focal point for investors. The latest analyst targets suggest an average price target of US$107.35, implying a potential upside of 24.9% from the current price. This speculation is crucial as the company prepares for its next earnings announcement, and investor sentiment may shift based on the results.
Current Stock Performance and Trading Volume
O'Reilly's stock closed at US$85.98, down 0.72% on the day. Over the past week, the stock has seen a slight uptick of 1.05%, while it has gained 0.24% in the past month. However, the year-to-date performance shows a decline of 4.77%. The latest trading volume was 386,465 shares, significantly lower than the 20-day average volume of 6,401,223 shares, suggesting reduced trading activity ahead of the earnings report.
Technical Indicators and Market Position
The stock is currently trading below both its 50-day moving average of US$87.91 and its 200-day moving average of US$90.75, indicating potential bearish sentiment. Additionally, O'Reilly's stock has a P/E ratio of 27.5955, with a profit margin of 14.3% and a return on equity of 58.6%. The stock is positioned within a 52-week range of US$82.59 to US$102.71, which signifies possible volatility as earnings results are anticipated.
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