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Will Peyto Exploration&Development Corp (PEY) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

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Peyto reports third-quarter 2026 results after markets close on November 9. Analysts expect earnings per share (EPS) of C$0.49, up from C$0.45 a year earlier. The company has beaten estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters. Its results will also include a preliminary 2027 capital budget.

Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. (TSX: PEY) will report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The C$0.49 EPS estimate comes from just one analyst, so it offers a limited view of expectations. Peyto has posted modest earnings beats in its three most recent comparable quarters, but that doesn’t guarantee another. Follow PEY.TO on our Peyto stock page.

Recent earnings trend

Peyto Exploration&Development Corp

PEY.TO

Full stock page →

PEY.TO

Peyto Exploration&Development Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $2.37 (-9.08%)
120 day period
$22.86$24.77$26.68May 15Aug 12Nov 5

Market cap

$4.89B

P/E

10.0x

Div. yield

5.59%

Div. / share

$1.34

52W high

$28.15

52W low

$19.31

1W change

-5.71%

Beta

0.60

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering PEY · as of Oct 29, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast PEY stock price to rise 17.3% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$27.88

+17.3% Upside

Previously C$27.75 on Oct 26, 2026

Current Price

C$23.77

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on PEY's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$16.38C$19.01C$21.63C$24.26C$26.89C$29.51TodayJun 29Sep 2Nov 5Dec 18Jan 31Mar 15

30-Day Vol

22.1%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

23.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-21.7%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$22.00

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$23.16C$21.46 – C$25.00
60 trading daysC$22.57C$20.26 – C$25.15
90 trading daysC$22.00C$19.27 – C$25.11

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-09—0.4900—
2026-06-302026-08-100.52000.5000+4.0%
2026-03-312026-05-130.82180.7950+3.4%
2025-12-312026-03-100.61000.6000+1.7%
2025-09-302025-11-130.45000.4700-4.3%
2025-06-302025-08-120.43000.4800-10.4%
0.00000.41090.8218 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: The November 9 report will show whether Peyto can keep growing earnings while managing costs and debt to support its dividend. The company recently raised its monthly dividend by 8% to C$0.13 per share. It also says it has cut net debt by about C$370 million over three years, bringing Debt/EBITDA below 1.00 times. The preliminary 2027 capital budget will give investors a better sense of how management plans to balance investment, debt and shareholder returns. There’s no revenue consensus, and the EPS estimate comes from one analyst, so it doesn’t capture the full range of expectations.

C$0.49

That’s the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, based on one analyst. It’s up 8.9% from C$0.45 a year earlier. Peyto has beaten estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters, but the small analyst sample and lack of a revenue estimate make the forecast uncertain.

Bull case

Peyto’s recent earnings record gives investors a reason for optimism. The company beat estimates by 4.00% in June 2026, 3.37% in March and 1.67% in December 2025. It has also reported low controllable costs, at C$1.04 per Mcfe in the second quarter of 2026, and lower leverage. If Peyto maintains its cost discipline and cash flow, the higher dividend and planned capital spending may be easier to support. The current EPS estimate of C$0.49 is also above last year’s C$0.45.

Bear case

Recent earnings beats don’t remove the risks tied to commodity prices, operations or capital spending. Peyto missed its estimate in September 2025, and the current forecast comes from just one analyst. Without a revenue estimate, it’s hard to judge the EPS forecast on its own. Peyto shares recently closed at C$23.77, below their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The preliminary 2027 budget may also show how management plans to balance development spending, debt and the higher dividend.

Wealth Awesome
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Published: November 9, 2026
Last Updated: November 9, 2026

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