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Will Royal Bank of Canada (RY) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:RY.TO

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As the Royal Bank of Canada prepares to release its upcoming earnings report, investors are eager to see if the bank can maintain its impressive track record of beating estimates.

Royal Bank of Canada (RY.TO) is set to report its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings on August 27, 2026, before the market opens. With a history of consistently surprising investors with better-than-expected earnings, anticipation is high. This preview will explore the key metrics and expectations leading into the report.

Recent earnings trend

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Royal Bank of Canada

RY.TO

Full stock page โ†’

RY.TO

Royal Bank of Canada

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
โ†‘ $56.21 (24.83%)
120 day period
$218.50$262.12$305.74Mar 4May 29Aug 24

Market cap

$392.40B

P/E

18.4x

Div. yield

2.24%

Div. / share

$6.36

52W high

$304.55

52W low

$183.45

1W change

-5.82%

Beta

0.93

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering RY

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Wall Street analysts forecast RY stock price to rise 4.2% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Neutral

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$294.38

+4.2% Upside

Current Price

C$282.62

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV โ†’

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on RY's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$232.37C$268.54C$304.71C$340.88C$377.05C$413.22TodayApr 16Jun 19Aug 24Oct 6Nov 19Jan 1

30-Day Vol

19.1%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

16.8%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+34.2%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$319.30

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1ฯƒ)
30 trading daysC$294.35C$275.58 โ€“ C$314.40
60 trading daysC$306.57C$279.29 โ€“ C$336.52
90 trading daysC$319.30C$284.85 โ€“ C$357.91

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯƒ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯƒ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 8 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-07-312026-08-27โ€”4.0700โ€”
2026-04-302026-05-283.90003.7900+2.9%
2026-01-312026-02-264.08003.8400+6.3%
2025-10-312025-12-033.85003.5500+8.5%
2025-07-312025-08-273.84003.2900+16.7%
2025-04-302025-05-293.12003.2000-2.5%
0.00002.04004.0800 24-0724-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-04 Estimate Actual (โ‰ฅ0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: Royal Bank of Canada has shown resilience and growth potential, making it a key focus for investors looking to take advantage of its strong earnings trajectory and broader market trends in the financial sector.

EPS Estimate: $4.07, Historical Beat Rate: 100% in Last Four Quarters

Royal Bank of Canada has beaten earnings estimates in all four of its most recent quarters, showcasing its impressive ability to exceed market expectations.

Bull case

Given its solid earnings history, RY.TO is expected to leverage its strong market position to deliver strong results, potentially surpassing the EPS estimate of $4.07 and boosting investor confidence.

Bear case

Despite its strong track record, ongoing trade tensions between Canada and the U.S. could pose risks to earnings growth. These tensions might dampen loan demand and impact profit margins.

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Wealth Awesome
Written by

Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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โœ… Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFAยฎ charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFPยฎ) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFAยฎ charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFPยฎ professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

๐Ÿ“Š Data AccuracyVerified sources
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian FocusLocal expertise
๐Ÿ” Fact-CheckedEditorial review

โš ๏ธ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 25, 2026
Last Updated: August 25, 2026
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