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Will Suncor Energy Inc (SU) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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With Suncor Energy set to report its Q2 earnings, investors are closely watching for signs of growth amid changing market conditions.

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) will release its second-quarter earnings report on August 4, 2026. Analysts expect significant year-over-year growth in earnings and revenues, making this report highly anticipated. This preview will explore what to expect from the earnings announcement and the broader context of Suncor’s operations.

Recent earnings trend

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Suncor Energy Inc

SU.TO

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SU.TO

Suncor Energy Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$20.14 (27.22%)
120 day period
$74.00$84.91$95.81Feb 10May 7Jul 31

Market cap

$111.16B

P/E

17.9x

Div. yield

2.50%

Div. / share

$2.34

52W high

$95.89

52W low

$51.16

1W change

+1.39%

Beta

0.57

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering SU

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast SU stock price to rise 9.3% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$102.85

+9.3% Upside

Current Price

C$94.14

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on SU's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$73.00C$88.19C$103.38C$118.57C$133.76C$148.95TodayMar 25May 29Jul 31Sep 12Oct 26Dec 8

30-Day Vol

27.3%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

32.6%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+28.8%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$104.32

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$97.42C$88.65C$107.05
60 trading daysC$100.81C$88.23C$115.19
90 trading daysC$104.32C$88.61C$122.83

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 6 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-043.0800
2026-03-312026-05-051.93001.9300+0.0%
2025-12-312026-02-031.10001.0300+6.8%
2025-09-302025-11-041.48001.1400+29.8%
2025-06-302025-08-050.71000.7300-2.7%
2025-03-312025-05-061.31001.2700+3.1%
0.00000.96501.9300 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: The upcoming earnings report is a key indicator of Suncor's ability to handle market challenges and its operational strength, especially considering recent performance trends.

Consensus EPS Estimate: $2.14

This estimate reflects an impressive 319.6% increase compared to the same quarter last year, highlighting the expected recovery in Suncor's earnings.

Bull case

If Suncor meets or exceeds the consensus EPS estimate of $2.14, marking a remarkable 319.6% year-over-year increase, it could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

Bear case

On the other hand, if Suncor significantly misses its earnings target, especially after recent downward revisions of EPS estimates, it could trigger a negative market reaction, given the company's mixed performance in the previous quarter.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
🔍 Fact-CheckedEditorial review

⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 3, 2026
Last Updated: August 3, 2026

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