Yangarra Resources reported third-quarter EPS of C$0.0738, 23% above the C$0.06 estimate. The result adds to a mixed record: the company has beaten estimates in two of its last four reported quarters.
Yangarra Resources Ltd. (TSX: YGR) reported earnings after market close on October 28 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. EPS was C$0.0738, compared with the calendar estimate of C$0.06. The estimate came from one analyst. Supplemental headlines, based on an unverified wire summary, also report Q3 production of 10,111 boe/d, funds flow of $23.1 million and net income of $8.3 million.
Recent earnings trend
Yangarra Resources Ltd
YGR.TO
YGR.TO
Yangarra Resources Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$166.84M
P/E
6.2x
52W high
$1.85
52W low
$0.90
1W change
-13.87%
Beta
0.37
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering YGR · as of Nov 4, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast YGR stock price to rise 45.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$2.10
+45.8% Upside
Previously C$2.04 on Oct 29, 2026
Current Price
C$1.44
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on YGR's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
51.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
45.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+14.8%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$1.52
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.47 | C$1.23 – C$1.75 |
| 60 trading days | C$1.49 | C$1.16 – C$1.91 |
| 90 trading days | C$1.52 | C$1.12 – C$2.06 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-03-04 | — | 0.0800 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | 0.0738 | 0.0600 | +23.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-30 | 0.1100 | 0.0500 | +120.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-30 | 0.0400 | 0.0600 | -33.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 0.0100 | 0.0800 | -87.5% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-28 | 0.0200 | 0.0500 | -60.0% |
For Canadian investors, the EPS beat is only part of the picture. Yangarra’s recent results have varied widely, from a 120% beat in June to a 33% miss in March.
Investor takeaway: Yangarra beat a modest estimate from a single analyst, but it has posted two beats and two misses in its last four comparable quarters. The supplemental operating figures add context, but check the company’s Q3 statements and MD&A before drawing conclusions about cash generation or its outlook. In the supplied data, shares closed at C$1.44, below the 50-day average of C$1.60 and above the 200-day average of C$1.37. See the YGR stock page for company and market information.
C$0.0738 EPS, versus C$0.06 estimated
EPS was 23% above the estimate, which came from one analyst. Yangarra has beaten estimates in two of its last four comparable quarters. The latest result is encouraging, but it doesn’t show a consistent pattern.
Bull case
Yangarra’s C$0.0738 EPS topped the C$0.06 estimate. Supplemental Q3 headlines also report production of 10,111 boe/d and funds flow of $23.1 million. The supplied fundamentals snapshot lists a 20.38% profit margin.
Analysts’ average target is C$2.10, compared with the last close of C$1.44. That’s a 45.8% difference, not a promised return. See Yangarra’s analyst ratings and targets for more detail.
Bear case
One analyst provided the EPS estimate, so the 23% surprise doesn’t reflect a broad consensus. Yangarra missed estimates in two of its last four reported quarters, including a 33.3% miss in March and an 87.5% miss in December.
The supplied data show the stock fell 13.87% over one week and closed at C$1.44, below its 50-day moving average. Oil and gas producers also face commodity-price and operating risks that EPS alone doesn’t capture.
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