AirBoss of America returned to quarterly profitability, but its latest earnings still fell short of expectations.
AirBoss of America Corp. (TSX: BOS) reported third-quarter 2026 results before markets opened on November 5. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at C$0.05, below the C$0.06 estimate. The company also returned to quarterly profitability and increased adjusted EBITDA, according to supplemental information from its release. For Canadian investors, the results are mixed: operations improved, but earnings remain uneven.
Recent earnings trend
AirBoss of America Corp.
BOS.TO
BOS.TO
AirBoss of America Corp.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$180.69M
Div. yield
0.39%
Div. / share
$0.03
52W high
$9.98
52W low
$3.82
1W change
+5.56%
Beta
1.86
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering BOS · as of Nov 10, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast BOS stock price to rise 59.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$10.59
+59.3% Upside
Previously C$9.60 on Nov 9, 2026
Current Price
C$6.65
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on BOS's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
48.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
54.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$5.56
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.27 | C$5.31 – C$7.40 |
| 60 trading days | C$5.90 | C$4.67 – C$7.47 |
| 90 trading days | C$5.56 | C$4.17 – C$7.41 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-03-03 | — | 0.0600 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-05 | 0.0500 | 0.0600 | -16.7% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.0900 | 0.0700 | +28.6% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | 0.0800 | 0.0700 | +14.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-04 | 0.0100 | 0.0300 | -66.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | -0.1472 | -0.0100 | -1372.0% |
Investor takeaway: AirBoss reported EPS of C$0.05 against an estimate of C$0.06. It has beaten estimates in two of its last four reported quarters, including the two quarters before this latest miss. The supplied fundamentals snapshot still shows negative trailing EPS and a slightly negative profit margin. One profitable quarter is encouraging, but it doesn’t yet confirm a sustained recovery. Follow the company on the BOS stock page.
C$0.05 EPS, versus C$0.06 expected
The 16.7% miss came alongside a return to quarterly net profit and higher adjusted EBITDA, according to the company’s release. AirBoss has beaten estimates in two of its last four quarters, so the latest result adds to a mixed record rather than a clear run of beats.
Bull case
The company’s release points to improved year-over-year results. AirBoss reported net profit of US$1.5 million, compared with a US$2.9 million loss a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA rose to US$8.1 million from US$7.3 million.
A five-year defense framework agreement and additional orders announced in September could support future business. But the framework’s initial order is for up to US$12.5 million, not guaranteed revenue.
Bear case
The EPS miss shows that the recovery remains fragile. AirBoss has beaten estimates in only two of its last four reported quarters. The supplied snapshot also lists trailing EPS of -C$0.08 and a profit margin of -0.34%.
At the last close provided, the share price was below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. A statistical forecast also points lower over the next 90 days. Contract announcements and one profitable quarter don’t remove the risks tied to execution, demand, or the balance sheet.
Analysis
AirBoss reported third-quarter 2026 results before markets opened on November 5. Calendar data shows EPS of C$0.05, 16.7% below the C$0.06 estimate. The supplied earnings history shows two beats in the last four reported quarters: AirBoss beat estimates in March and June 2026, then missed in September after another miss in December 2025.
Supplemental information from the company’s release shows net profit of US$1.5 million, compared with a US$2.9 million loss a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA rose to US$8.1 million from US$7.3 million. These figures point to year-over-year improvement, but the estimate miss and uneven earnings record remain. The supplied fundamentals snapshot also lists trailing EPS of -C$0.08 and a profit margin of -0.34%.
AirBoss’s defense business has announced a five-year framework agreement with a NATO partner nation, with an initial order of up to US$12.5 million. Additional announced defense orders brought the stated total to as much as US$16.9 million. These orders could bring in business, but they don’t prove the company can sustain profitability. The automatically inserted earnings trend table and chart show the quarter-by-quarter comparison.
Analysis
The supplied analyst data gives an average target of C$10.59, compared with the last close of C$6.65. That implies 59.3% upside to the average target. The data calls the consensus bullish based on this comparison, but a formal rating isn’t available for this Canadian listing. Analyst targets are estimates, not guarantees, and the available information doesn’t include individual analysts’ assumptions. See the BOS analyst ratings section.
Analysis
Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day model gives a mean forecast of C$5.56, below the C$6.65 reference price dated November 9, 2026. The model’s stated 68% range is C$4.17–C$7.41, and its 95% range is C$3.13–C$9.88. It also reports annualized drift of -50.0% and 30-day volatility of 48.1%, highlighting the uncertainty around the forecast. This is a statistical model, not financial advice or a price target. See the BOS price prediction section and the BOS stock page for more context.
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