
An October 14 headline asked whether AppLovin’s valuation story had changed after strong Q2 results. But the supplied information doesn’t include the quarter’s revenue, earnings, guidance, or the reasoning behind the valuation question. It therefore doesn’t show whether the results changed the company’s outlook. The available market data show a last close of US$279.29, down 15.74% over the past month.
Investor takeaway: The headline raises a valuation question, but the earnings details needed to assess it aren’t provided.
US$279.29 last close
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Applovin Corp
APP.US
APP.US
Applovin Corp
Market cap
$87.74B
P/E
20.9x
52W high
$738.01
52W low
$260.59
1W change
-0.30%
Beta
2.56
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 33 analysts covering APP · as of Oct 16, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast APP stock price to rise 71.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy4.42 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$480.08
+71.9% Upside
Previously C$483.79 on Oct 15, 2026
Current Price
C$279.29
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (33 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on APP's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
49.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
66.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$233.62
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$263.15 | C$221.89 – C$312.08 |
| 60 trading days | C$247.94 | C$194.81 – C$315.57 |
| 90 trading days | C$233.62 | C$173.87 – C$313.90 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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AppLovin closed 9.9% below its 50-day moving average of US$309.84 and 36.4% below its 200-day moving average of US$438.97.
Bull case
The supplied fundamentals show a 64.6% profit margin and trailing-twelve-month EPS of US$12.53. The headline also describes Q2 results as strong.
Bear case
The shares are down 54.83% year to date and closed below both their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The supplied information doesn’t explain the decline.
What happened: Q2 results prompted a valuation question
The October 14 headline framed AppLovin’s strong Q2 results as a reason to reconsider its valuation. That’s the event described in the supplied information. It includes no Q2 revenue, earnings, growth rate, forecast, or valuation comparison, so it doesn’t show whether the quarter changed expectations or how the headline reached its conclusion. AppLovin trades under the symbol APP.US. See the company page.
What the numbers show: shares remain below recent averages
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AppLovin’s last close was US$279.29. The shares fell 15.74% over one month and 54.83% year to date, while gaining 6.52% in one day. They were down 0.30% over one week.
The close was 9.9% below the 50-day moving average of US$309.84 and 36.4% below the 200-day average of US$438.97. The 52-week range was US$260.59 to US$738.01, putting the close 4% of the way up that range. Latest volume was 4,365,276 shares, or 0.82 times the 20-day average of 5,288,925.
The supplied fundamentals list a P/E of 20.925, a market capitalization of US$87,742,021,632, a profit margin of 64.6%, return on equity of 203.7%, and trailing-twelve-month EPS of US$12.53. These figures describe the company and its share performance, but don’t include the missing Q2 details. See the AppLovin stock page for more information.
What to watch next: the earnings detail behind the valuation question
To assess the headline’s question, investors would need the Q2 results, company guidance, and the valuation assumptions behind the analysis. Those details aren’t included here, so the headline alone can’t establish whether AppLovin’s valuation has changed. The shares are near the lower end of their 52-week range, but the supplied figures don’t explain why or indicate what happens next.
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