ATCO Ltd's recent earnings report shows solid performance, exceeding expectations and highlighting growth in its key business areas.
In its second-quarter earnings report for 2026, ATCO Ltd (TSX: ACO.X) announced adjusted earnings of CAD 114 million, or CAD 1.01 per share, beating analysts' estimates by 2.02%. This performance reflects a year-over-year growth driven by strong demand in the Structures and Utilities sectors.
Recent earnings trend
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ATCO Ltd
ACO-X.TO
ACO-X.TO
ATCO Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$8.20B
P/E
45.5x
Div. yield
2.81%
Div. / share
$2.05
52W high
$80.82
52W low
$47.47
1W change
+4.01%
Beta
0.41
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ACO-X · as of Sep 21, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ACO-X stock price to rise 12.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$82.71
+12.8% Upside
Previously C$82.00 on Sep 17, 2026
Current Price
C$73.35
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ACO-X's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
21.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
22.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-0.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$73.28
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$73.33 | C$68.06 – C$78.99 |
| 60 trading days | C$73.30 | C$65.97 – C$81.44 |
| 90 trading days | C$73.28 | C$64.41 – C$83.36 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-06 | — | 0.9500 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 1.0100 | 0.9900 | +2.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | 1.4700 | 1.4800 | -0.7% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-26 | 1.3500 | 1.2800 | +5.5% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-07 | 0.9200 | 0.8300 | +10.8% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-31 | 0.9000 | 0.8900 | +1.1% |
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Investor takeaway: With consistent earnings growth and a strong portfolio, ATCO is an attractive investment opportunity, especially as it responds to rising demand in infrastructure and energy sectors.
Bull case
ATCO's earnings per share of CAD 1.01 marks a 13% increase compared to the same quarter last year, showing strong operational performance. The company has proven its resilience with a notable 13% year-over-year rise in adjusted earnings. Positive trends in the Structures division and Canadian Utilities suggest that ATCO is well-positioned to take advantage of ongoing infrastructure investments and energy needs.
Bear case
Despite the earnings beat, ATCO's high P/E ratio of 48.83 may raise concerns about its valuation. Additionally, potential economic challenges could affect future growth in its utility and structures segments.
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