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AtkinsRealis Group Inc ATRL Earnings Beat Estimates by 9.1%

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AtkinsRéalis reported calendar EPS of C$1.20, above the C$1.10 estimate. That makes four comparable quarters in a row above expectations. The supplied results don’t include revenue or margin figures, so the EPS beat gives only a partial picture of the company’s performance.

AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (TSX: ATRL) reported calendar EPS of C$1.20 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, 9.1% above the estimate. The company has now beaten estimates in four consecutive comparable quarters. You can follow ATRL.TO on the AtkinsRéalis stock page.

Recent earnings trend

AtkinsRealis Group Inc

ATRL.TO

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ATRL.TO

AtkinsRealis Group Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $5.57 (6.59%)
120 day period
$79.85$86.44$93.02May 25Aug 19Nov 12

Market cap

$14.29B

P/E

34.1x

Div. yield

0.09%

Div. / share

$0.08

52W high

$106.75

52W low

$79.14

1W change

+3.53%

Beta

0.96

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering ATRL · as of Nov 10, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast ATRL stock price to rise 29.2% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$116.33

+29.2% Upside

Previously C$116.07 on Nov 9, 2026

Current Price

C$90.03

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ATRL's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$61.75C$78.35C$94.94C$111.53C$128.12C$144.72TodayJul 7Sep 10Nov 12Dec 25Feb 7Mar 22

30-Day Vol

33.1%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

29.6%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+13.8%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$94.58

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$91.52C$81.64 – C$102.60
60 trading daysC$93.04C$79.16 – C$109.35
90 trading daysC$94.58C$77.60 – C$115.28

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 7 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-12-312027-02-26—1.0700—
2026-09-302026-11-051.20001.1000+9.1%
2026-06-302026-08-060.97000.9300+4.3%
2026-03-312026-05-140.80000.7400+8.1%
2025-12-312026-02-271.00000.9700+3.1%
2025-09-302025-11-131.10000.8800+25.0%
0.00000.60001.2000 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: The latest earnings beat continues a recent pattern, while nuclear work remains part of the company’s longer-term outlook. On November 12, AtkinsRéalis announced that Candu Energy will assess a potential expansion of Türkiye’s nuclear program. That work is an opportunity, not evidence of revenue or earnings from the latest quarter. Without quarter-specific revenue and margin figures, investors can’t use the EPS surprise alone to judge business momentum.

C$1.20 EPS versus C$1.10 expected

The 9.1% beat was the largest surprise among the last four comparable quarters in the supplied data. EPS also topped estimates in the previous three periods: C$0.97 versus C$0.93, C$0.80 versus C$0.74, and C$1.00 versus C$0.97. The recent earnings trend table and chart show the quarter-by-quarter results.

Bull case

AtkinsRéalis has beaten estimates in each of its last four comparable quarters, with surprises ranging from 3.1% to 9.1%. Its subsidiary, Candu Energy, has also agreed to conduct a feasibility study and Front-End Engineering Design work for a potential expansion of Türkiye’s nuclear program. The study is expected to finish before the end of 2027. It could lead to future work, but the announcement does not confirm a project award or near-term earnings.

Bear case

An EPS beat doesn’t show whether revenue growth, project execution, or margins improved. The supplied results don’t include those details. The work in Türkiye is still at the study and planning stage, and investment decisions have yet to be made. AtkinsRéalis also has a reported P/E of about 34 and a supplied profit margin of 3.47%. Investors should consider valuation and execution risks alongside the recent run of earnings beats.

Wealth Awesome
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Published: November 13, 2026
Last Updated: November 13, 2026

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