Brookfield Renewable Corp delivered a surprising earnings performance, exceeding estimates significantly in the latest quarter.
Recent earnings trend
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Brookfield Renewable Corp
BEPC.TO
BEPC.TO
Brookfield Renewable Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$8.53B
Div. yield
3.30%
Div. / share
$1.53
52W high
$61.37
52W low
$43.49
1W change
+1.65%
Beta
1.16
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering BEPC
Wall Street analysts forecast BEPC stock price to rise 0.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$47.02
+0.5% Upside
Current Price
C$46.78
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on BEPC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
26.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
38.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-36.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$41.04
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$44.78 | C$40.84 – C$49.10 |
| 60 trading days | C$42.87 | C$37.64 – C$48.82 |
| 90 trading days | C$41.04 | C$34.99 – C$48.13 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | — | -0.6600 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-31 | -0.3700 | -0.6400 | +42.2% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-01 | -0.4000 | -0.0100 | -3900.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-30 | -0.3300 | -0.1400 | -135.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | -0.1700 | -0.0100 | -1600.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-01 | -0.1700 | -0.2500 | +32.0% |
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In its recent earnings report for the second quarter of 2026, Brookfield Renewable Corp (BEPC.TO) surprised analysts by posting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.37, which was much better than the expected -$0.64. This marks a 42.19% surprise, a notable achievement in a sector often characterized by volatility and high capital expenditures.
Investor takeaway: While Brookfield Renewable's EPS remains negative, this significant beat against expectations can offer some hope for investors, especially considering the company's ongoing efforts to expand its renewable energy portfolio and improve operational efficiencies.
EPS Surprise of 42.19% Reflects Stronger Than Expected Performance
The reported EPS of -$0.37, while still negative, surpassed analysts' expectations by a significant margin. This suggests a potential turnaround in operational performance, despite the ongoing challenges in the renewable energy landscape.
Bull case
Brookfield Renewable is positioning itself well in the renewable energy sector. Recent acquisitions and strong capital deployment show promising growth potential. For instance, the acquisition of Aypa, North America's leading battery storage platform, highlights Brookfield's commitment to enhancing its energy solutions and meeting rising demand.
Bear case
Despite the positive earnings surprise, Brookfield Renewable continues to report net losses and negative EPS, which reflects ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. Additionally, the stock has shown volatility, with a recent downward trend that may concern investors looking for stability.
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