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CAE Inc. CAE Earnings Beat Estimates by 13.0%

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CAE Inc. recently reported strong earnings, exceeding analyst expectations and hinting at future growth.

On August 12, 2026, CAE Inc. (TSX: CAE) announced its fiscal first quarter results for 2027, showing earnings per share (EPS) of CA$0.26, which is 13.04% above the consensus estimate of CA$0.23. This is the third time in the last four quarters that CAE has beaten earnings expectations, demonstrating its resilience in the aerospace and defense sector despite ongoing global challenges.

Recent earnings trend

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CAE Inc.

CAE.TO

Full stock page →

CAE.TO

CAE Inc.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $3.89 (-10.23%)
120 day period
$32.01$35.30$38.59Apr 13Jul 8Oct 1

Market cap

$10.98B

P/E

38.3x

52W high

$47.65

52W low

$31.42

1W change

-1.95%

Beta

1.02

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering CAE · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast CAE stock price to rise 28.3% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$43.79

+28.3% Upside

Current Price

C$34.12

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on CAE's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$20.57C$25.34C$30.11C$34.87C$39.64C$44.41TodayMay 26Jul 29Oct 1Nov 13Dec 27Feb 8

30-Day Vol

29.7%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

30.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-33.8%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$30.24

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$32.77C$29.58 – C$36.31
60 trading daysC$31.48C$27.24 – C$36.39
90 trading daysC$30.24C$25.32 – C$36.11

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 5 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-10—0.2600—
2026-06-302026-08-120.26000.2300+13.0%
2026-03-312026-05-210.42000.4200+0.0%
2025-12-312026-02-120.34000.3000+13.3%
2025-09-302025-11-110.23000.2000+15.0%
2025-06-302025-08-120.21000.2100+0.0%
0.00000.23500.4700 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: With solid earnings and a positive outlook on air travel demand, CAE Inc. offers an interesting opportunity for investors looking to benefit from the recovery in the aerospace sector. However, it's important to consider the potential risks linked to its debt and integration challenges.

CAE's EPS of CA$0.26 Surpasses Estimates by 13.04%

The company achieved an EPS growth of 5.6% year-over-year, along with a revenue increase of 6.8% to CA$1.173 billion, highlighting its competitive position in the aerospace and defense market.

Bull case

The aerospace industry is bouncing back, with rising demand for pilot training and simulation services. CAE's strategic partnerships and transformation efforts put it in a good position to take advantage of this growth, backed by strong order intake and cash flow generation.

Bear case

Despite the positive earnings surprise, CAE has a significant net debt of CA$3.2 billion, which could be risky if the company struggles to manage its operational costs. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions and challenges from acquisitions may impact its growth prospects.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 17, 2026
Last Updated: September 22, 2026

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