Collective Mining Ltd's latest earnings report highlights ongoing challenges as the company continues to miss expectations.
In its recent earnings release for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026, Collective Mining Ltd (CNL.TO) reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.31, falling short of analyst estimates by 72.2%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter that the company has not met expectations, raising concerns about its operational efficiency and future profitability.
Recent earnings trend
Advertisement
Collective Mining Ltd
CNL.TO
CNL.TO
Collective Mining Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.64B
52W high
$30.12
52W low
$13.76
1W change
-7.86%
Beta
1.03
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CNL · as of Sep 29, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast CNL stock price to rise 89.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$33.60
+89.9% Upside
Previously C$32.80 on Sep 17, 2026
Current Price
C$17.69
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CNL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
62.5%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
68.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-43.9%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$15.12
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$16.79 | C$13.53 – C$20.83 |
| 60 trading days | C$15.93 | C$11.74 – C$21.62 |
| 90 trading days | C$15.12 | C$10.41 – C$21.97 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Advertisement
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-11 | — | -0.1200 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-11 | -0.3100 | -0.1800 | -72.2% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | -0.1800 | -0.1400 | -28.6% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-30 | -0.1949 | -0.1000 | -94.9% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | -0.1800 | -0.1300 | -38.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | -0.1500 | -0.1400 | -7.1% |
Advertisement
Investor takeaway: Investors should be aware of the trend of earnings misses and how it affects market sentiment, especially as the company prepares to trade on the Nasdaq. The significant gap between actual and estimated EPS indicates potential operational issues that need to be addressed.
Bull case
Collective Mining is strategically positioned in a rich mining region and has plans to expand its high-grade mineral discoveries, which could drive future growth. The recent listing on the Nasdaq may also increase visibility and attract new investors.
Bear case
However, the company's ongoing struggle to meet earnings expectations raises concerns about its operational management and financial health. With a lack of revenue generation, this could lead to increased volatility in its stock price.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
TFSA room
Check TFSA contribution room
Shelter the next contribution before you buy.
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
