Collective Mining Ltd's latest earnings report highlights ongoing challenges as the company continues to miss expectations.
In its recent earnings release for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026, Collective Mining Ltd (CNL.TO) reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.31, falling short of analyst estimates by 72.2%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter that the company has not met expectations, raising concerns about its operational efficiency and future profitability.
Recent earnings trend
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Collective Mining Ltd
CNL.TO
CNL.TO
Collective Mining Ltd
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Market cap
$1.84B
52W high
$30.12
52W low
$13.47
1W change
+8.30%
Beta
1.00
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CNL
Wall Street analysts forecast CNL stock price to rise 67.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$33.95
+67.9% Upside
Current Price
C$20.22
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CNL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
66.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
66.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-23.4%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$18.60
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1ฯ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$19.66 | C$15.65 โ C$24.71 |
| 60 trading days | C$19.12 | C$13.85 โ C$26.41 |
| 90 trading days | C$18.60 | C$12.52 โ C$27.62 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-11 | โ | -0.1200 | โ |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-11 | -0.3100 | -0.1800 | -72.2% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | -0.1800 | -0.1400 | -28.6% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-30 | -0.1949 | -0.1000 | -94.9% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | -0.1800 | -0.1300 | -38.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | -0.1500 | -0.1400 | -7.1% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should be aware of the trend of earnings misses and how it affects market sentiment, especially as the company prepares to trade on the Nasdaq. The significant gap between actual and estimated EPS indicates potential operational issues that need to be addressed.
Bull case
Collective Mining is strategically positioned in a rich mining region and has plans to expand its high-grade mineral discoveries, which could drive future growth. The recent listing on the Nasdaq may also increase visibility and attract new investors.
Bear case
However, the company's ongoing struggle to meet earnings expectations raises concerns about its operational management and financial health. With a lack of revenue generation, this could lead to increased volatility in its stock price.
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