Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (CMG.TO) faced a significant earnings miss in its latest quarter, raising questions about its growth trajectory.
On August 11, 2026, Computer Modelling Group Ltd. released its first-quarter earnings for the period ending June 30, 2026, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.02, a stark contrast to the estimated $0.06. This miss of 66.67% has drawn attention from investors and analysts alike, especially given the company's recent revenue trends and strategic moves.
Recent earnings trend
Advertisement
Computer Modelling Group Ltd.
CMG.TO
CMG.TO
Computer Modelling Group Ltd.
WealthAwesomeAdvertisement
Market cap
$292.48M
P/E
17.9x
Div. yield
2.09%
Div. / share
$0.08
52W high
$6.80
52W low
$3.40
1W change
-4.82%
Beta
-0.20
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CMG
Wall Street analysts forecast CMG stock price to rise 38.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$5.20
+38.7% Upside
Current Price
C$3.75
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CMG's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
34.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
37.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+1.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$3.77
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$3.76 | C$3.34 – C$4.22 |
| 60 trading days | C$3.76 | C$3.19 – C$4.44 |
| 90 trading days | C$3.77 | C$3.07 – C$4.61 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0200 | 0.0600 | -66.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-21 | 0.0700 | 0.0700 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 0.0800 | 0.0700 | +14.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-11 | 0.0400 | 0.0500 | -20.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | 0.0400 | 0.0600 | -33.3% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-20 | 0.0633 | 0.0967 | -34.5% |
Advertisement
Investor takeaway: The substantial earnings miss highlights ongoing challenges in organic growth for Computer Modelling Group, despite positive contributions from recent acquisitions. Investors should closely monitor the company's strategic initiatives, including the upcoming substantial issuer bid and its impact on share value.
EPS Miss: $0.02 vs $0.06 Estimate
The 66.67% earnings miss raises concerns about the company's growth prospects and highlights the volatility of its revenue streams.
Bull case
If Computer Modelling Group can stabilize its organic revenue and effectively leverage its acquisitions, it could recover and enhance shareholder value, especially with the support of the announced substantial issuer bid.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company continues to see a decline in organic revenue and struggles to execute its strategic initiatives, it could further erode investor confidence, potentially leading to a longer-term downturn in share performance.
Advertisement
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
